Lot sold price of the Portrait du garçon en bleu by Chaïm Soutine on Sotheby's above $3200000 during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT
Above $3.2M is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside Will the lot sold price of the Portrait du garçon en bleu by Chaïm Soutine on Sotheby's be above $.
Price history
53¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the lot sold price of the Portrait du garçon en bleu by Chaïm Soutine on Sotheby's is above $3.2M during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $3.2M
Rank
#7 of 9
Leader
Above $2.2M 91¢
Range
3¢-91¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXART-POR26-3200000
May 28, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$731
Family rank
#7 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the lot sold price of the Portrait du garçon en bleu by Chaïm Soutine on Sotheby's be above $
Closes
Jun 25, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the lot sold price of the Portrait du garçon en bleu by Chaïm Soutine on Sotheby's is above $3.2M during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 25, 2026
Identifier
KXART-POR26-3200000
Event family
Will the lot sold price of the Portrait du garçon en bleu by Chaïm Soutine on Sotheby's be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above $2.2M 91¢
Current share
0%
Above $2.2M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-2200000
Above $2M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-2000000
Above $2.4M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-2400000
Above $2.6M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-2600000
Above $2.8M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-2800000
Above $3M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-3000000
Above $3.2M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-3200000
Above $3.4M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-3400000
Above $3.6M
kalshi · KXART-POR26-3600000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 53% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.