SimpleFunctions

79° to 80° · Will the maximum temperature

79° to 80° is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the maximum temperature.

Price history

25¢ current

+4¢
20¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for May 29, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

79° to 80°

Rank

#3 of 6

Leader

81° to 82° 29¢

Range

4¢-29¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXHIGHTATL-26MAY29-B79.5

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

24h volume

$141

Family rank

#3 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the maximum temperature

Closes

May 30, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 24¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
21¢8
20¢20
19¢135
18¢200
15¢21
AskSize
24¢27
25¢164
26¢216
27¢4
28¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for May 29, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 30, 2026

Identifier

KXHIGHTATL-26MAY29-B79.5

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the maximum temperature.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

81° to 82° 29¢

Current share

7%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

4

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.