57° to 58° · Will the minimum temperature
57° to 58° is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
39¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles for May 29, 2026, is between 57-58° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
57° to 58°
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
59° or above 44¢
Range
1¢-44¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-B57.5
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$111
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles for May 29, 2026, is between 57-58° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-B57.5
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
59° or above 44¢
Current share
3%
59° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-T58
57° to 58°
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-B57.5
55° to 56°
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-B55.5
53° to 54°
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-B53.5
50° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-T51
51° to 52°
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY29-B51.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 39% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.