Will the minimum temperature be >57° on May 7, 2026?
This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXLOWTLAX-26MAY07-T57
Market snapshot
Will the minimum temperature be >57° on May 7, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the minimum temperature be >57° on May 7, 2026?. The displayed quote is 99¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $9K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 15, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will the minimum temperature be >57° on May 7, 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
99¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Past listed close May 8, 2026
Reported volume
$9K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 15, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXLOWTLAX-26MAY07-T57. Family volume: $9K.
Price history
99¢ current
+77¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles for May 7, 2026, is greater than 57° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTLAX-26MAY07-T57
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the minimum temperature be >57° on May 7, 2026 99¢
Current share
100%
Will the minimum temperature be >57° on May 7, 2026
kalshi · KXLOWTLAX-26MAY07-T57
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.