66° to 67° · Will the minimum temperature
66° to 67° is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
24¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin for May 29, 2026, is between 66-67° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
66° to 67°
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
66° to 67° 18¢
Range
8¢-18¢
Family volume
$417
Identifier
KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-B66.5
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$29
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$417
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin for May 29, 2026, is between 66-67° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-B66.5
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$417
Outcomes
6
Highest price
66° to 67° 18¢
Current share
7%
63° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-T64
66° to 67°
kalshi · KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-B66.5
68° to 69°
kalshi · KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-B68.5
64° to 65°
kalshi · KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-B64.5
70° to 71°
kalshi · KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-B70.5
72° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTAUS-26MAY29-T71
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 24% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.