SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $5.00 in October 2026

Above $5.00 is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

39¢ current

+35¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.00

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

Above $4.00 56¢

Range

16¢-56¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXB200MS-26OCT-5.000

Jun 19, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

40¢

Ask

41¢

Spread

Reported volume

$140

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 41¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
40¢1.1K
39¢200
36¢300
2¢52
AskSize
41¢1.1K
96¢57
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXB200MS-26OCT-5.000

SF Signal
SF Index
405.89
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $4.00 56¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

405.9%

IY (No)

180.4%

Adj IY

406%

CRI

2

RV

30558%

VR

32.66

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

405.9%
180.4%
Adj IY
406%
2
RV
30558%
VR
32.66
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
1.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.