SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.25 in March 2027

Above $1.25 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

19¢ current

30¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.25

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 69¢

Range

5¢-69¢

Family volume

$233

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27MAR-1.250

Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

24h volume

$38

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Family volume

$233

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 20¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.2K
19¢339
17¢300
16¢200
AskSize
20¢439
22¢200
23¢64
97¢45
98¢30

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27MAR-1.250

SF Signal
SF Index
542.35
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$233

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 69¢

Current share

16%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

542.3%

IY (No)

29.8%

Adj IY

542%

CRI

4

RV

65401%

VR

63.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

542.3%
29.8%
Adj IY
542%
4
RV
65401%
VR
63.25
IAR
2.1/h
Overround
0.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.