Natural gas close price above 1.199 USD/MMBtu on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
above $1.199 is priced at 99¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will the natural gas close price be above.
Price history
99¢ current
+38¢Contract brief
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDN6 contract on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1.199 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
above $1.199
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
above $1.199 98¢
Range
2¢-98¢
Family volume
$760
Identifier
KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.199
May 28, 2026, 6:07 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the natural gas close price be above
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$760
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDN6 contract on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1.199 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.199
Event family
Will the natural gas close price be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$760
Outcomes
16
Highest price
above $1.199 98¢
Current share
0%
above $1.199
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.199
above $0.999
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T0.999
above $1.099
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.099
above $1.299
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.299
above $1.399
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.399
above $1.499
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.499
above $1.599
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.599
above $1.699
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.699
above $1.799
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.799
above $1.899
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T1.899
above $2.899
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T2.899
above $2.999
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T2.999
above $3.099
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T3.099
above $3.199
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T3.199
above $3.399
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T3.399
above $3.299
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26MAY2917-T3.299
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.