Above 2.3B · Will The Notorious B.I.G. have
Above 2.3B is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 14 inside Will The Notorious B.I.G. have.
Price history
41¢ current
+30¢Contract brief
If The Notorious B.I.G. has Above 2.3B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 2.3B
Rank
#11 of 14
Leader
Above 1.5B 97¢
Range
5¢-97¢
Family volume
$100
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.3B
May 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$281
Family rank
#11 of 14
14 outcomes · Will The Notorious B.I.G. have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$100
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Notorious B.I.G. has Above 2.3B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.3B
Event family
Will The Notorious B.I.G. have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$100
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Above 1.5B 97¢
Current share
0%
Above 1.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.5B
Above 1.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.3B
Above 1.4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.4B
Above 1.6B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.6B
Above 1.7B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.7B
Above 1.8B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.8B
Above 1.9B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-1.9B
Above 2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.0B
Above 2.1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.1B
Above 2.2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.2B
Above 2.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.3B
Above 2.4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.4B
Above 2.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.5B
Above 2.6B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BIGGIE26DEC31-2.6B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.