SimpleFunctions

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between May 25, 2026 and May 31, 2026

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between May 25, 2026 and May 31, 2026 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

14¢ current

19¢
25¢
May 25, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Donald Trump is photographed every day of the week between May 25, 2026 and May 31, 2026, inclusive, in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between May 25, 2026 and May 31, 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$22K

Identifier

KXTRUMPPHOTO-26MAY31

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

24h volume

$7K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$22K

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 15¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
14¢112
13¢209
12¢498
10¢30
9¢71
AskSize
15¢883
17¢50
18¢600
22¢200
23¢13

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Donald Trump is photographed every day of the week between May 25, 2026 and May 31, 2026, inclusive, in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPPHOTO-26MAY31

SF Signal
SF Index
54390.12
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$22K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between May 25, 2026 and May 31, 2026 14¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

6

VR

0.64

IAR

0.5/h

LAS

0.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6
VR
0.64
IAR
0.5/h
LAS
0.07

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.