Will the price of the Bezel Rolex Index be Above $12882 at May 31, 2026
Will the price of the Bezel Rolex Index be Above $12882 at May 31, 2026 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
96¢ current
+94¢Contract brief
If the value of the Bezel Rolex Index is Above $12,882 on May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the price of the Bezel Rolex Index be Above $12882 at May 31, 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXROLEX-MAY-12882
May 25, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of the Bezel Rolex Index is Above $12,882 on May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXROLEX-MAY-12882
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the price of the Bezel Rolex Index be Above $12882 at May 31, 2026 96¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.