Total Public Debt on May 28, 2026 above 39.02T
Above 39.02T is priced at 52¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 94¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside Will the Total Public Debt on May 28, 2026 be above 3.
Price history
52¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If the Total Public Debt on May 28, 2026 is above 39.02T, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 39.02T
Rank
#3 of 15
Leader
Above 38.82T 63¢
Range
1¢-63¢
Family volume
$452
Identifier
KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.02
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
94¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 15
15 outcomes · Will the Total Public Debt on May 28, 2026 be above 3
Closes
May 28, 2026
Family volume
$452
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Total Public Debt on May 28, 2026 is above 39.02T, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.02
Event family
Will the Total Public Debt on May 28, 2026 be above 3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$452
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Above 38.82T 63¢
Current share
0%
Above 38.82T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T38.82
Above 39.52T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.52
Above 39.02T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.02
Above 38.97T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T38.97
Above 39.07T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.07
Above 39.12T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.12
Above 39.17T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.17
Above 39.22T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.22
Above 39.27T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.27
Above 39.32T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.32
Above 39.37T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.37
Above 39.42T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.42
Above 38.92T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T38.92
Above 39.47T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T39.47
Above 38.87T
kalshi · KXTRUFPDEBT-26MAY28-T38.87
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.