Total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election above 550000
Above 550k is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above.
Price history
95¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 550000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 550k
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above 550k 95¢
Range
30¢-95¢
Family volume
$31
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-550000
May 26, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$400
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$31
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 550000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-550000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$31
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 550k 95¢
Current share
0%
Above 550k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-550000
Above 600k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-600000
Above 650k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-650000
Above 700k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-700000
Above 750k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-750000
Above 800k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-800000
Above 850k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-850000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 95% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.