Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This contract is priced at 18¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$27.5M
Best sibling
May 31 2¢
Ticker
0x747dc809…1f75
Price history
18¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
17 / 18¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x747dc809…1f75
Event family
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$27.5M
Outcomes
4
Highest price
December 31 18¢
Current share
95%
December 31
polymarket · 0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75
May 31
polymarket · 0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4
June 30
polymarket · 0xa7962b12241616d83dcb8c70fc33aa0f48b1ec46a3ad6a23db21d3885dedc4cb
September 30
polymarket · 0xace3c72c24fccb6731433483ece41c780432d84850edccd5a6bf3147ccea62a9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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