Tom Steyer vs. Chad Bianco · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN
Tom Steyer vs. Chad Bianco is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN.
Price history
1¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tom Steyer vs. Chad Bianco
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton 67¢
Range
1¢-67¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-TSTECBIA
May 28, 2026, 8:52 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$28K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-TSTECBIA
Event family
KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton 67¢
Current share
0%
Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-XBECSHIL
Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILTSTE
Xavier Becerra vs. Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-XBECTSTE
Xavier Becerra vs. Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-XBECCBIA
Steve Hilton vs. Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILCBIA
Chad Bianco vs. Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-CBIAMMAH
Tom Steyer vs. Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-TSTECBIA
Eric Swalwell vs. Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-ESWACBIA
Eric Swalwell vs. Katie Porter
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-ESWAKPOR
Eric Swalwell vs. Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-ESWAMMAH
Eric Swalwell vs. Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-ESWATSTE
Katie Porter vs. Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-KPORCBIA
Katie Porter vs. Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-KPORMMAH
Steve Hilton vs. Eric Swalwell
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILESWA
Steve Hilton vs. Katie Porter
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILKPOR
Steve Hilton vs. Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILMMAH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.