SimpleFunctions

United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers

Above 427.00 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 42.

Price history

99¢ current

+93¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 427.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 427.00

Rank

#3 of 8

Leader

Above 426.00 95¢

Range

2¢-95¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T427.0

May 27, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

100¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 8

8 outcomes · Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 42

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 100¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
85¢100
78¢20
60¢1
57¢13
3¢169
AskSize

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 427.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Identifier

KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T427.0

SF Signal
SF Index
7502.12
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 42.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Above 426.00 95¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

467.3%

IY (No)

15004.2%

Adj IY

7502%

CRI

6

Overround

3.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

467.3%
15004.2%
Adj IY
7502%
6
Overround
3.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.