Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026 is priced at 10¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
10¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used. A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Outcome
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$46K
Identifier
0x36a34d4a...7b99
May 27, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$46K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$46K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used. A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x36a34d4a…7b99
Event family
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$46K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026 10¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.