Valtteri Bottas · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26
Valtteri Bottas is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Valtteri Bottas records the fastest valid lap time in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Valtteri Bottas
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-BOT
May 28, 2026, 11:44 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$150
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Valtteri Bottas records the fastest valid lap time in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-BOT
Event family
KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 26¢
Current share
0%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-ANT
George Russell
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-RUS
Charles Leclerc
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-LEC
Lando Norris
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-NOR
Lewis Hamilton
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-HAM
Max Verstappen
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-VER
Franco Colapinto
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-COL
Valtteri Bottas
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-BOT
Alexander Albon
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-ALB
Fernando Alonso
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-ALO
Oliver Bearman
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-BEA
Gabriel Bortoleto
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-BOR
Pierre Gasly
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-GAS
Nico Hulkenberg
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-HUL
Liam Lawson
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-LAW
Arvid Lindblad
kalshi · KXF1FASTLAP-MONGP26-LIN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.