1.5m · Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026
1.5m is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?.
Price history
9¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Outcome
1.5m
Rank
#5 of 7
Leader
1.1m 94¢
Range
4¢-94¢
Family volume
$73K
Identifier
0xf0904ab7...825c
Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#5 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Family volume
$73K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Identifier
0xf0904ab7…825c
Event family
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$73K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
1.1m 94¢
Current share
11%
1.1m
polymarket · 0x100207711a0d1ede324bf62d3ba060e2e222cdd58eb480a3b36a22fae0348113
1.2m
polymarket · 0x0ade700b2236988fe36cd542748df50f58b241562b51ecdc6e28d8161eaf0652
1.3m
polymarket · 0x59bb2cc4b116c5137e858222c867638bcd78b236db7656adf93114fcdf62b902
1.4m
polymarket · 0x50b1af573a5f1ec560b16fe03c54ed6f82f8c19f12105bfabbea99bbf30130d1
1.5m
polymarket · 0xf0904ab7e7487a656dda050756cfdbdb0a9a4bd9bed24d6d7cf85c3b349e825c
1.7m
polymarket · 0x28f262f83978e0a29a25a36ac81a99990abcc8246f6fd349736d01eaa48fd20a
2m
polymarket · 0x294517aabac969add6c08806c376d4f89c248c04ddc5232e3a0a18ac41ccf834
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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