Will With Heaven On Top be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will With Heaven On Top be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the dat.... This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 3393% implied yield on Yes contracts against just 5.9% on No, reflecting minimal conviction that "With Heaven On Top" will top Spotify's 2026 wrapped albums despite the 4¢ price.
Analysis
This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 3393% implied yield on Yes contracts against just 5.9% on No, reflecting minimal conviction that "With Heaven On Top" will top Spotify's 2026 wrapped albums despite the 4¢ price. The $510 open interest and zero 24-hour volume suggest dangerously thin liquidity, making the 3¢ spread potentially misleading for actual execution. The price has tripled from 1¢ to 4¢ over seven days, but with such low volume and a moderate 24 cliff risk index, this movement may reflect limited order flow rather than genuine probability reassessment ahead of the year-end 12/31/2026 resolution.
Resolution rules
If With Heaven On Top is the #1 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFYUSA-26-ZAC yes 100