December 31 · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by
December 31 is priced at 41¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 39¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?.
Price history
41¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
December 31
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
December 31 41¢
Range
3¢-41¢
Family volume
$26K
Identifier
0x637ff14b...a722
May 24, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$38
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$26K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x637ff14b…a722
Event family
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$26K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 41¢
Current share
49%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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