June 30 · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by
June 30 is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?.
Price history
3¢ current
−11¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
June 30
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
December 31 41¢
Range
3¢-41¢
Family volume
$26K
Identifier
0x179f2b47...ac27
May 24, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$972
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$26K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x179f2b47…ac27
Event family
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$26K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 41¢
Current share
51%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.