Yadong Song · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30SONFIG
Yadong Song is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30SONFIG.
Price history
82¢ current
+80¢Contract brief
If Yadong Song wins the Song vs Figueiredo professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yadong Song
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Yadong Song 81¢
Range
18¢-81¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30SONFIG-SON
May 27, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$768
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30SONFIG
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Yadong Song wins the Song vs Figueiredo professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30SONFIG-SON
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30SONFIG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Yadong Song 81¢
Current share
7%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 82% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.