XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch
$100M is priced at 10¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 11 inside XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch?.
Price history
10¢ current
−38¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If XMAQUINA (https://x.com/xmaquina) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Outcome
$100M
Rank
#6 of 11
Leader
$20M 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$18K
Identifier
0xbb9ba5b3...4436
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$45
Family rank
#6 of 11
11 outcomes · XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$18K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If XMAQUINA (https://x.com/xmaquina) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
0xbb9ba5b3…4436
Event family
XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
$20M 99¢
Current share
1%
$20M
polymarket · 0x8fafe6d111a69654b5d220300f1f7df49706622fd8d73332be1bf3518567cf73
$10M
polymarket · 0x74d83f1ab06fbb4dd027ce4f9deef2d7f5410ca9e4ec82903b7fe31ca02a5bbf
$40M
polymarket · 0x0a55872601157b2a2b83ec2a43c5a0b3321e08685be8f6da02c7b7f79e72730d
$60M
polymarket · 0x6456955f4341952f0a9c8c20a52b64d57c5c72422968f23de0efe103fd32c20a
$80M
polymarket · 0xb3faca7d3fd895867afe67c147b647d59a6939e7fbd59d6c87d75d4f8db3d26f
$100M
polymarket · 0xbb9ba5b35a01cb2118db0e6564c2676cfe9d59baa17c496620cc613db18f4436
$150M
polymarket · 0x609c5cadcd8d0c73c5bb86139ce49567a67b6cba3e041ee3704f20b07ddf5193
$200M
polymarket · 0xdc338f9cb857afa001fe2fd2ee03d9c42da8b1ed42696b2b2d3c2a1f19185c31
$300M
polymarket · 0x8d375f75ef3a0e2958df2f4a190c989f58b6b55d75b1a0dcb0263ebd32d1f9a3
$500M
polymarket · 0xa80c293cebc32e6e22e78973e0e2657deea1802533c8366937fd17bd21ccc62b
$800M
polymarket · 0x0ddc15b5767e6b8433f774375fd769ff9b2e651fa2d245ecbace59891148d065
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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