SimpleFunctions

Zed to win Zed vs Kahrabaa Ismailia

Zed is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Zed vs Kahrabaa Ismailia Winner.

Price history

41¢ current

+1¢
40¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Zed wins the Zed vs Kahrabaa Ismailia professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Zed

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Zed 40¢

Range

27¢-40¢

Family volume

$694

Identifier

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY29ZEDKAH-ZED

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

41¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

40¢

Ask

42¢

Spread

24h volume

$676

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Zed vs Kahrabaa Ismailia Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$694

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 42¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
40¢2.6K
39¢275
38¢2.9K
37¢297
36¢1.0K
AskSize
42¢3.3K
43¢283
44¢2.3K
45¢740
61¢2

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Zed wins the Zed vs Kahrabaa Ismailia professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY29ZEDKAH-ZED

SF Signal
SF Index
3680.03
Regime
neutral

Event family

Zed vs Kahrabaa Ismailia Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$694

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Zed 40¢

Current share

97%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3692.3%

IY (No)

1641.0%

Adj IY

3680%

CRI

2

RV

187%

VR

0.30

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3692.3%
1641.0%
Adj IY
3680%
2
RV
187%
VR
0.30
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.