Global conflicts, international diplomacy, trade wars, sanctions, and geopolitical risk events.
Track developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict including ceasefire negotiations, territorial changes, and international involvement.
Monitor global AI regulation developments in 2026. As AI capabilities advance rapidly, governments worldwide are racing to establish frameworks for safety, liability, and deployment. ## Key Regulatory Tracks - **US AI Executive Orders** - Implementation and enforcement - **EU AI Act** - Full enforcement begins - **China AI Governance** - New restrictions and requirements - **UK AI Safety Institute** - Standards development ## Market Implications - Compute restrictions and export controls - Model deployment requirements - Liability frameworks for AI systems - Open source vs closed model regulations
Track developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict through 2026. As the war enters its fourth year, markets are pricing ceasefire scenarios, territorial outcomes, and reconstruction timelines. ## Key Scenarios - **Ceasefire negotiations** - Probability and terms - **Territorial control** - Front line movements - **Western support** - Aid packages and sustainability - **Sanctions regime** - Enforcement and evasion ## Market Focus - Energy prices and European supply - Defense sector implications - Reconstruction opportunities - Sanctions impact on global trade
Track the ongoing political crisis in Venezuela following the disputed 2024 elections. Nicolás Maduro's contested hold on power faces international pressure and domestic opposition. ## Key Developments - **Opposition movement** - María Corina Machado and Edmundo González - **International recognition** - US, EU, and Latin American positions - **Sanctions policy** - Oil sector and individual sanctions - **Migration crisis** - Regional impact and policy responses ## Market Implications - Venezuelan oil production and exports - Regional stability in Latin America - US-Venezuela relations under new administration - Humanitarian situation and aid flows
Track the second Trump administration's policy implementation and political developments through 2026. With midterm elections approaching, markets are pricing policy execution and political stability. ## Key Policy Areas - **Tariffs and trade** - China, Mexico, Canada policies - **Immigration** - Border policy and deportations - **Deregulation** - Energy, finance, tech sectors - **Foreign policy** - NATO, Ukraine, Middle East ## Political Calendar - **November 2026** - Midterm elections - Cabinet stability and turnover - Congressional investigations - 2028 election positioning