The Golden Globes are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent | 100.0% |
Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | 0.1% |
Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0.1% |
Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | 0.1% |
CurrentJoel Edgerton – Train Dreams | 0.1% |
Z | 0.0% |
J | 0.0% |
K | 0.0% |
L | 0.0% |
M | 0.0% |
O | 0.0% |
P | 0.0% |
Q | 0.0% |
R | 0.0% |
S | 0.0% |
U | 0.0% |
V | 0.0% |
W | 0.0% |
X | 0.0% |
Y | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
A | 0.0% |
B | 0.0% |
C | 0.0% |
D | 0.0% |
E | 0.0% |
F | 0.0% |
G | 0.0% |
I | 0.0% |
Michael B. Jordan – Sinners | 0.0% |
Colin Farrell – Ballad of a Small Player | 0.0% |
Lee Byung-hun – No Other Choice | 0.0% |
Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | 0.0% |
Matthew McConaughey – The Lost Bus | 0.0% |
Rami Malek – Nuremberg | 0.0% |
Paul Mescal – Hamnet | 0.0% |
Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | 0.0% |
Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon | 0.0% |