This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
June 30, 2026 | 5.1% |
December 31, 2025 | 0.0% |
CurrentOctober 31, 2025 | 0.0% |