Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a massive 23¢ spread and $34.2k open interest, suggesting trapped capital and potential difficulty executing trades at the quoted 12¢ price. The 1034.7% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of a low-probability long-shot bet with minimal real conviction, while the 7-day price decline from 13¢ to 12¢ indicates modest downward pressure on Glasner's appointment odds. With 259 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 7, this market carries meaningful event risk around Real Madrid's managerial decisions, making the wide spread and zero volume particularly concerning for position liquidity.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade