Event families
Prediction market yield curves and outcome slates
4,208 event families across Kalshi and Polymarket. Each family groups multiple markets that share an underlying event — either spread over time (a real yield curve) or competing for the same outcome on one resolution date (an outcome slate).
Top families shown
200
Real term structures
34
≥3 distinct tenors
Outcome slates
166
single resolution date
24h volume tracked
$117.6M
Read the framework: The Valuation Funnel
Venue
200 of 200 families match
FIFA World Cup Winner
polymarket·48 markets·1 tenor
$16.5M
24h
Spain
17%
France
17%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
Brazil
9%
Outcome slate
US X Iran Permanent Peace Deal
polymarket·6 markets·5 tenors·2d – 7mo
$10.7M
24h
Term structure
Will Akshay Bhatia win the Charles Schwab Challenge
kalshi·121 markets·2 tenor·2w – 5w
$10.5M
24h
Ludvig Aberg
8%
Alex Smalley
6%
Keegan Bradley
5%
Ryan Gerard
5%
Rickie Fowler
4%
Outcome slate
When Will Bitcoin Hit
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·5w – 7mo
$5.8M
24h
by December 31, 2026
10%
by June 30, 2026
1%
Outcome slate
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the KXFOMEN-26
kalshi·39 markets·1 tenor
$5.4M
24h
Alexander Zverev
29%
Novak Djokovic
19%
Casper Ruud
9%
Rafael Jodar
8%
Ben Shelton
6%
Outcome slate
Will Akshay Bhatia lead at the end of Round 1 in the Charles Schwab Challenge
kalshi·78 markets·2 tenor·2w – 5w
$3.4M
24h
Kevin Yu
8%
Ryan Gerard
7%
Rickie Fowler
5%
Ludvig Aberg
4%
Luke Clanton
3%
Outcome slate
Presidential Election Winner
polymarket·36 markets·1 tenor
$2.6M
24h
JD Vance
18%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Marco Rubio
14%
Kamala Harris
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Outcome slate
Republican Presidential Nominee
polymarket·35 markets·1 tenor
$2.4M
24h
J.D. Vance
34%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tucker Carlson
6%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Thomas Massie
3%
Outcome slate
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$2.3M
24h
Karen Bass
60%
Spencer Pratt
22%
Nithya Raman
16%
Outcome slate
Mens French Open Winner
polymarket·23 markets·1 tenor
$2.2M
24h
Alexander Zverev
33%
Novak Djokovic
20%
Casper Ruud
11%
Rafael Jodar
8%
Ben Shelton
5%
Outcome slate
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by End of
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·2d – 5w
$2.1M
24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns
39%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns
1%
Outcome slate
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$2.1M
24h
Oklahoma City
56%
New York
30%
San Antonio
14%
Outcome slate
F1 Drivers Champion
polymarket·22 markets·1 tenor
$2.0M
24h
Kimi Antonelli
55%
George Russell
28%
Lando Norris
5%
Max Verstappen
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Outcome slate
Will the Iranian Regime Fall
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·3d – 5w
$1.9M
24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by
3%
Will the Iranian regime fall by
0%
Outcome slate
US Iran Nuclear Deal
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·3d – 5w
$1.8M
24h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
41%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
21%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in
polymarket·21 markets·1 tenor
$1.8M
24h
↓ 72,500
66%
↓ 70,000
15%
↑ 77,500
8%
↑ 80,000
2%
↓ 65,000
2%
Outcome slate
Fed Decision in June
polymarket·5 markets·1 tenor
$1.6M
24h
No change
98%
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps increase
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
50+ bps increase
0%
Outcome slate
Iran Closes Its Airspace
polymarket·4 markets·4 tenors·2d ago – 5w
$1.5M
24h
Term structure
MLB Rbis
polymarket·25 markets·1 tenor
$1.3M
24h
Aaron Judge
20%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Kyle Schwarber
8%
CJ Abrams
6%
Liam Hicks
5%
Outcome slate
Democratic Presidential Nominee
polymarket·45 markets·1 tenor
$1.3M
24h
Gavin Newsom
24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Kamala Harris
8%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Outcome slate
Next French Presidential
polymarket·36 markets·1 tenor
$1.3M
24h
Jordan Bardella
26%
Édouard Philippe
16%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12%
Gabriel Attal
6%
Marine Le Pen
6%
Outcome slate
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup
kalshi·27 markets·1 tenor
$1.3M
24h
Spain
17%
France
17%
England
11%
Argentina
9%
Brazil
9%
Outcome slate
Will Trump Dance
polymarket·5 markets·1 tenor
$1.2M
24h
May 30
10%
May 29
10%
May 31
8%
May 28
2%
May 25
0%
Outcome slate
California Governor Election
polymarket·23 markets·1 tenor
$1.1M
24h
Xavier Becerra
71%
Tom Steyer
17%
Steve Hilton
9%
Chad Bianco
2%
Rick Caruso
0%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Wti Hit in
polymarket·17 markets·1 tenor
$1.1M
24h
↓ $85
30%
↓ $80
7%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $105
1%
Outcome slate
Will Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$965.3K
24h
Carolina Hurricanes
55%
Vegas Golden Knights
43%
Montréal Canadiens
1%
Outcome slate
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting
kalshi·70 markets·14 tenors·3w – 20mo
$825.1K
24h
Term structure
Brazil Presidential
polymarket·17 markets·1 tenor
$775.4K
24h
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
29%
Renan Santos
15%
Fernando Haddad
6%
Romeu Zema
3%
Outcome slate
Iem Cologne Major Winner
polymarket·32 markets·1 tenor
$681.9K
24h
Vitality
51%
Team Spirit
16%
Falcons
9%
Natus Vincere
8%
FURIA
5%
Outcome slate
Peru Presidential Election
polymarket·23 markets·2 tenor·47d ago – 9d
$670.8K
24h
Keiko Fujimori
75%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%
Rafael López Aliaga
1%
Carlos Álvarez
0%
Ricardo Belmont
0%
Outcome slate
Trump Announces US Blockade of Hormuz Lifted
polymarket·5 markets·5 tenors·1d ago – 5w
$599.6K
24h
Term structure
Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028
kalshi·24 markets·1 tenor
$564.8K
24h
Gavin Newsom
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Kamala Harris
9%
Jon Ossoff
7%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Outcome slate
What Iranian Demands Will Trump Agree to
polymarket·4 markets·1 tenor
$556.1K
24h
Oil Sanction Relief
24%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
17%
Enrichment of Uranium
2%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
2%
Outcome slate
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$530.7K
24h
Ken Paxton
59%
James Talarico
40%
Outcome slate
Will the Oklahoma City win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$530.1K
24h
Oklahoma City
76%
San Antonio
23%
Outcome slate
Will the US Confirm That Aliens Exist Before
polymarket·4 markets·1 tenor
$527.6K
24h
December 31
16%
September 30
10%
June 30
3%
May 31
0%
Outcome slate
Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90
kalshi·33 markets·1 tenor
$523.2K
24h
Above 2.90
99%
Above 3.00
99%
Above 3.10
99%
Above 3.20
99%
Above 3.30
99%
Outcome slate
Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026
kalshi·49 markets·1 tenor
$495.7K
24h
$67,500 or above
99%
$64,500 or above
98%
$65,000 or above
98%
$65,500 or above
98%
$66,000 or above
98%
Outcome slate
Microstrategy Sell Any Bitcoin
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$481.1K
24h
December 31, 2026
85%
June 30, 2026
53%
May 31, 2026
13%
Outcome slate
How Many Fed Rate Cuts
polymarket·13 markets·1 tenor
$472.1K
24h
0 (0 bps)
66%
1 (25 bps)
19%
2 (50 bps)
8%
3 (75 bps)
3%
9 (225 bps)
1%
Outcome slate
Internet Access Restored in Iran
polymarket·4 markets·3 tenors·76d ago – 7mo
$463.4K
24h
Term structure
Will Arsenal win the Champions League Winner
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$433.0K
24h
PSG
58%
Arsenal
41%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Ethereum Hit in
polymarket·17 markets·1 tenor
$410.4K
24h
↓ 1,800
3%
↓ 1,600
1%
↓ 1,200
0%
↑ 3,200
0%
↓ 1,400
0%
Outcome slate
UEFA Champions League
polymarket·2 markets·1 tenor
$410.0K
24h
PSG
57%
Arsenal
43%
Outcome slate
MLB World Series Champion
polymarket·30 markets·1 tenor
$408.6K
24h
Los Angeles Dodgers
26%
New York Yankees
14%
Atlanta Braves
9%
Seattle Mariners
6%
Milwaukee Brewers
5%
Outcome slate
Iran Agrees to Surrender Enriched Uranium Stockpile
polymarket·4 markets·4 tenors·2d – 7mo
$407.5K
24h
Term structure
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year
kalshi·10 markets·10 tenors·4d – 2.7y
$396.7K
24h
Term structure
Will Gujarat Titans win the IPL
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$392.2K
24h
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
52%
Rajasthan Royals
25%
Gujarat Titans
22%
Outcome slate
PSG vs Arsenal Winner
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$389.5K
24h
PSG
41%
Arsenal
30%
Tie
27%
Outcome slate
Charles Schwab Challenge
kalshi·183 markets·4 tenors·2w – 7w
$379.2K
24h
Ben Martin
82%
Jordan L. Smith
62%
Alex Smalley
55%
Brian Harman
52%
Hideki Matsuyama
40%
Outcome slate
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026
kalshi·9 markets·9 tenors·5d – 13mo
$369.9K
24h
Term structure
Israel X Iran Permanent Peace Deal
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·2d – 5w
$369.9K
24h
June 30
16%
May 31
6%
Outcome slate
Ireland vs New Zealand Winner
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$365.2K
24h
New Zealand
95%
Ireland
3%
Outcome slate
US X Iran Diplomatic Meeting by
polymarket·7 markets·4 tenors·14d ago – 9d
$355.8K
24h
Term structure
Cl Hit
polymarket·20 markets·1 tenor
$352.5K
24h
↓ $85
73%
↓ $80
57%
↑ $105
37%
↑ $110
26%
↑ $115
20%
Outcome slate
What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy
kalshi·22 markets·1 tenor
$347.8K
24h
250
99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
99%
F-47
99%
Helicopter
99%
Iran / Iranian
99%
Outcome slate
NHL Stanley Cup Champion
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$344.4K
24h
Carolina Hurricanes
56%
Vegas Golden Knights
43%
Montreal Canadiens
2%
Outcome slate
Colombia Presidential
polymarket·18 markets·1 tenor
$343.5K
24h
Abelardo de la Espriella
67%
Iván Cepeda Castro
34%
Paloma Valencia
2%
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%
Outcome slate
Who will win the next presidential election
kalshi·19 markets·1 tenor
$331.3K
24h
Marco Rubio
18%
J.D. Vance
16%
Gavin Newsom
14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Kamala Harris
6%
Outcome slate
Spacex IPO Closing Market Cap
polymarket·16 markets·1 tenor
$303.5K
24h
>$1T
99%
>$1.2T
98%
>$1.4T
98%
>$1.6T
95%
>$1.8T
90%
Outcome slate
NBA Champion
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$283.7K
24h
Oklahoma City Thunder
57%
New York Knicks
28%
San Antonio Spurs
15%
Outcome slate
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
polymarket·11 markets·1 tenor
$282.6K
24h
Karen Bass
61%
Spencer Pratt
20%
Nithya Raman
19%
Monica Rodriguez
0%
Asaad Alnajjar
0%
Outcome slate
Will Abraham Ancer win the LIV Golf Korea
kalshi·49 markets·1 tenor
$279.6K
24h
Bryson DeChambeau
27%
Joaquin Niemann
14%
Jon Rahm
7%
Abraham Ancer
3%
Byeong Hun An
3%
Outcome slate
Where Will David Njoku Play
polymarket·32 markets·1 tenor
$269.8K
24h
Los Angeles Chargers
96%
Kansas City Chiefs
2%
Jacksonville Jaguars
2%
Miami Dolphins
2%
Indianapolis Colts
2%
Outcome slate
Backrooms Rotten Tomatoes score
kalshi·179 markets·8 tenors·4d – 7mo
$265.7K
24h
Above 30
99%
Above 35
99%
Above 40
99%
Above 45
99%
Above 50
99%
Outcome slate
Who will win the governorship in California
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$256.5K
24h
Xavier Becerra
67%
Tom Steyer
19%
Steve Hilton
11%
Chad Bianco
2%
Outcome slate
Largest Company End of June
polymarket·7 markets·1 tenor
$250.7K
24h
NVIDIA
87%
Alphabet
10%
Apple
4%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Microsoft
0%
Outcome slate
Womens US Open Winner Tennis
polymarket·40 markets·1 tenor
$248.9K
24h
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Swiatek
21%
Elena Rybakina
12%
Coco Gauff
9%
Naomi Osaka
5%
Outcome slate
Will A's win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship
kalshi·24 markets·1 tenor
$240.2K
24h
Los Angeles D
27%
New York Y
14%
Atlanta
11%
Seattle
7%
Milwaukee
5%
Outcome slate
US Obtains Iranian Enriched Uranium
polymarket·3 markets·3 tenors·2d – 7mo
$237.8K
24h
Term structure
Highest Grossing Movie
polymarket·14 markets·1 tenor
$236.2K
24h
Brand New Day
54%
Doomsday
19%
Toy Story 5
16%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Outcome slate
Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Winner
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$234.8K
24h
Rajasthan Royals
52%
Gujarat Titans
48%
Outcome slate
Trump Out as President
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·3d – 5w
$234.6K
24h
Trump out as President by June 3
1%
Trump out as President by May 31
0%
Outcome slate
Womens French Open Winner
polymarket·23 markets·1 tenor
$227.5K
24h
Aryna Sabalenka
28%
Iga Świątek
28%
Coco Gauff
13%
Mirra Andreeva
8%
Elina Svitolina
7%
Outcome slate
Daegu Mayoral Election
polymarket·12 markets·1 tenor
$226.7K
24h
Choo Kyung-ho
87%
Kim Boo-kyum
14%
Joo Ho-young
0%
Hong Seok-jun
0%
Lee Jin-sook
0%
Outcome slate
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 100.00 and 100.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$225.4K
24h
Below $91.00
71%
$91.00 to $91.99
9%
$92.00 to $92.99
5%
$93.00 to $93.99
3%
$94.00 to $94.99
3%
Outcome slate
Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket·14 markets·1 tenor
$224.7K
24h
Chong Won-oh
78%
Oh Se-hoon
23%
Jeon Hyun-heui
0%
Cho Kuk
0%
Kang Hoon-sik
0%
Outcome slate
Where Will Tyreek Hill Play
polymarket·14 markets·1 tenor
$217.7K
24h
Dallas Cowboys
40%
Baltimore Ravens
40%
Los Angeles Chargers
40%
Pittsburgh Steelers
40%
New England Patriots
39%
Outcome slate
FIFA World Cup Player to Make Portugal Squad
polymarket·8 markets·1 tenor
$209.6K
24h
Ricardo Horta
50%
Rodrigo Mora
49%
António Silva
47%
Pedro Gonçalves
25%
Mateus Fernandes
25%
Outcome slate
Charles Schwab Challenge
kalshi·225 markets·4 tenors·2w – 7w
$192.2K
24h
Cameron Davis
78%
Lanto Griffin
65%
Alex Smalley
43%
Albert Hansson
40%
Brian Harman
32%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit Before
polymarket·26 markets·1 tenor
$189.7K
24h
↓ 55,000
55%
↑ 90,000
52%
↓ 50,000
43%
↑ 100,000
33%
↓ 45,000
32%
Outcome slate
Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control
polymarket·2 markets·1 tenor
$188.9K
24h
June 30
6%
May 31
1%
Outcome slate
Will Nuno Borges win the Borges vs Rublev
kalshi·26 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$181.4K
24h
Alexander Zverev
93%
Francisco Cerundolo
81%
Rafael Jodar
79%
Alex de Minaur
78%
Andrey Rublev
72%
Outcome slate
Which Company Has Best AI Model End of
polymarket·15 markets·1 tenor
$177.6K
24h
Anthropic
83%
Google
14%
OpenAI
4%
xAI
1%
Amazon
0%
Outcome slate
Will Mirra Andreeva win the French Open
kalshi·23 markets·1 tenor
$175.2K
24h
Iga Swiatek
29%
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Coco Gauff
14%
Mirra Andreeva
8%
Elina Svitolina
7%
Outcome slate
F1 Constructors
polymarket·11 markets·1 tenor
$174.8K
24h
Mercedes
87%
McLaren
5%
Ferrari
5%
Cadillac
1%
Haas
1%
Outcome slate
Will Qileng Aori win the Aori vs Haddon professional MMA fight scheduled for May 30, 2026
kalshi·42 markets·3 tenors·2w – 8w
$173.9K
24h
Term structure
Eastern Conference Finals Winner
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$171.0K
24h
Carolina Hurricanes
95%
Montreal Canadiens
4%
Outcome slate
Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$161.3K
24h
Karen Bass
72%
Spencer Pratt
17%
Nithya Raman
11%
Rae Huang
2%
Adam Miller
1%
Outcome slate
Iran Leader End of
polymarket·30 markets·1 tenor
$159.8K
24h
Mojtaba Khamenei
70%
Reza Pahlavi
7%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
No Head of State
4%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Outcome slate
Will Arizona win the 2027 Pro Football Championship
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$148.5K
24h
Los Angeles R
10%
Seattle
8%
Buffalo
6%
Kansas City
6%
Baltimore
5%
Outcome slate
Will Alabama win the College Baseball World Series
kalshi·33 markets·1 tenor
$144.3K
24h
Georgia Tech
18%
UCLA
17%
Texas
9%
Georgia
9%
North Carolina
8%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 76-77° on May 28, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·0d – 1d
$142.4K
24h
75° or below
80%
77° or below
46%
78° to 79°
42%
76° to 77°
14%
80° to 81°
7%
Outcome slate
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting
kalshi·109 markets·8 tenors·3w – 11mo
$138.2K
24h
Term structure
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $57500.00 by 11
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$138.0K
24h
Below $72,500.00
72%
Below $70,000.00
15%
Below $67,500.00
7%
Below $65,000.00
2%
Below $57,500.00
1%
Outcome slate
Will Jason Esteves receive between 10% and 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary
kalshi·241 markets·4 tenors·12mo – 15mo
$136.0K
24h
55% - 60%
99%
10% - 15%
99%
30% - 35%
99%
10% - 15%
98%
35% - 40%
98%
Outcome slate
Starmer Out
polymarket·5 markets·1 tenor
$134.8K
24h
December 31
70%
July 31
34%
June 30
17%
June 15
6%
May 31
1%
Outcome slate
What will be the top AI model this month
kalshi·20 markets·2 tenor·2d – 3d
$133.1K
24h
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
80%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
79%
claude-opus-4-6
4%
claude-opus-4-6
4%
claude-opus-4-7
1%
Outcome slate
Which Party Will Gain Most Seats in Russian Parliamentary
polymarket·7 markets·1 tenor
$133.1K
24h
United Russia (ER)
57%
New People (NL)
33%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
3%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Outcome slate
Which Company Has the Best Math AI Model End of
polymarket·15 markets·1 tenor
$131.2K
24h
Google
77%
Anthropic
22%
ByteDance
0%
xAI
0%
Microsoft
0%
Outcome slate
Iran Agrees to End Enrichment of Uranium
polymarket·3 markets·3 tenors·3d – 7mo
$130.0K
24h
Term structure
When will SpaceX IPO
kalshi·13 markets·13 tenors·3d – 12mo
$125.6K
24h
Term structure
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026
kalshi·16 markets·2 tenor·4d – 7mo
$124.7K
24h
Above 10
95%
Above 120
94%
Above 140
79%
Above 11
76%
Above 160
35%
Outcome slate
Nobel Peace Prize Winner
polymarket·20 markets·1 tenor
$124.6K
24h
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
11%
Donald Trump
9%
Yulia Navalnaya
9%
UNRWA
7%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%
Outcome slate
Mens Singles Roland Garros Winner
polymarket·13 markets·1 tenor
$124.5K
24h
Alexander Zverev
31%
Novak Djokovic
19%
Casper Ruud
12%
Rafael Jodar
11%
Ben Shelton
6%
Outcome slate
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary
polymarket·10 markets·1 tenor
$122.9K
24h
Greg Hull
87%
Doug Turner
10%
Duke Rodriguez
5%
Judith Nakamura
0%
Susana Martinez
0%
Outcome slate
Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round
polymarket·23 markets·1 tenor
$120.7K
24h
Iván Cepeda Castro
73%
54-57%
37%
57-60%
28%
Abelardo de la Espriella
27%
51-54%
14%
Outcome slate
Iran Leadership Change
polymarket·3 markets·3 tenors·2d – 7mo
$120.2K
24h
Term structure
Will Ships Transit the Strait of Hormuz on Any Day
polymarket·4 markets·1 tenor
$119.6K
24h
20+
22%
40+
9%
60+
5%
80+
3%
Outcome slate
Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·4mo – 7mo
$118.8K
24h
Before January 2027
29%
Before October 2026
12%
Before July 2026
3%
Before June 2026
1%
Outcome slate
Atlanta vs Cincinnati Winner
kalshi·62 markets·3 tenors·4d – 6d
$117.6K
24h
Tampa Bay
67%
New York Y
62%
Seattle
60%
Los Angeles D
60%
Pittsburgh
59%
Outcome slate
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$116.3K
24h
D-House, D-Senate
41%
D-House, R-Senate
32%
R-House, R-Senate
22%
R-House, D-Senate
2%
Outcome slate
Israel X Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal
polymarket·3 markets·3 tenors·2d – 5w
$114.6K
24h
Term structure
Charles Schwab Challenge
kalshi·164 markets·4 tenors·2w – 7w
$114.1K
24h
Cameron Davis
72%
Jordan L. Smith
43%
Kevin Kisner
38%
Ludvig Aberg
25%
Alex Smalley
20%
Outcome slate
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 81.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026
kalshi·60 markets·2 tenor·1d – 5mo
$113.5K
24h
Above $81.99
97%
Above $82.99
97%
Above $83.99
95%
Above $84.99
92%
Above $85.99
85%
Outcome slate
Will A.J. Brown win the MVP
kalshi·45 markets·1 tenor
$113.4K
24h
Josh Allen
10%
Joe Burrow
10%
Lamar Jackson
9%
Justin Herbert
8%
Caleb Williams
6%
Outcome slate
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$110.4K
24h
Byron Donalds
90%
James Fishback
10%
Jay Collins
1%
Outcome slate
Big Game Champion
polymarket·32 markets·1 tenor
$107.9K
24h
Seattle Seahawks
10%
Los Angeles Rams
10%
Buffalo Bills
7%
Baltimore Ravens
7%
Kansas City Chiefs
7%
Outcome slate
Will Austin Bautista win the Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol
kalshi·56 markets·1 tenor
$105.2K
24h
Yanhan Zhou
9%
Ricardo Gouveia
5%
Sepp Straka
5%
Austin Bautista
3%
Antoine Rozner
3%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Ethereum Hit Before
polymarket·14 markets·1 tenor
$104.2K
24h
↓ 1,500
57%
↓ 1,000
25%
↑ 3,500
21%
↓ 800
21%
↑ 4,000
14%
Outcome slate
Fed Decision in July
polymarket·5 markets·1 tenor
$103.7K
24h
No change
93%
25 bps increase
4%
25 bps decrease
3%
50+ bps decrease
1%
50+ bps increase
0%
Outcome slate
How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026
kalshi·11 markets·1 tenor
$101.2K
24h
Exactly 4 songs
83%
Exactly 3 songs
8%
Exactly 5 songs
8%
Exactly 0 songs
1%
Exactly 1 song
1%
Outcome slate
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before July 2026
kalshi·5 markets·5 tenors·5w – 2.7y
$100.3K
24h
Term structure
KXNHLGAME
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$99.9K
24h
CAR Hurricanes
68%
MTL Canadiens
31%
Outcome slate
Will Trump say "50,000" before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$97.7K
24h
Autism
99%
Barack Hussein Obama
99%
Crypto / Bitcoin
99%
Hottest
99%
Landslide
99%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Solana Hit in
polymarket·15 markets·1 tenor
$94.4K
24h
↓ 70
3%
↑ 100
1%
↓ 10
0%
↑ 140
0%
↑ 130
0%
Outcome slate
Will Oklahoma City win 4-2 in the San Antonio vs Oklahoma City Western Conference Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$93.7K
24h
OKC wins 4-2
40%
OKC wins 4-3
38%
SAS wins 4-3
23%
Outcome slate
Largest Company End of May
polymarket·8 markets·1 tenor
$90.1K
24h
NVIDIA
100%
Alphabet
0%
Microsoft
0%
Amazon
0%
Apple
0%
Outcome slate
Will the high temp in Chicago be 66-67° on May 28, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$89.1K
24h
70° to 71°
59%
82° to 83°
37%
72° to 73°
25%
80° to 81°
25%
84° to 85°
21%
Outcome slate
Israel and Indonesia Normalize Relations
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·5w – 7mo
$88.0K
24h
December 31, 2026
18%
June 30, 2026
5%
Outcome slate
Will Andres Perez De Lara be the Allegiance 200 winner
kalshi·74 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$87.8K
24h
Kyle Larson
34%
Denny Hamlin
19%
Kaden Honeycutt
16%
Justin Allgaier
15%
Layne Riggs
14%
Outcome slate
Where Will the Next US Iran Diplomatic Meeting Happen
polymarket·19 markets·1 tenor
$86.5K
24h
Pakistan
45%
No Meeting by June 30
25%
Switzerland
7%
Qatar
6%
Oman
2%
Outcome slate
Which Party Will Win the House
polymarket·2 markets·1 tenor
$82.8K
24h
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
20%
Outcome slate
Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of May 2026
kalshi·25 markets·2 tenor·3d – 3mo
$81.4K
24h
Bruno Mars
62%
Bruno Mars
53%
Justin Bieber
45%
Drake
10%
Ariana Grande
6%
Outcome slate
Elon Musk of Tweets
polymarket·28 markets·1 tenor
$79.8K
24h
800-839
39%
840-879
39%
880-919
10%
780-799
8%
920-959
2%
Outcome slate
Fif Ire Qat 05 28 More Markets
polymarket·11 markets·1 tenor
$79.7K
24h
O/U 0.5
94%
O/U 1.5
75%
O/U 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Republic of Ireland (-1.5)
39%
Outcome slate
Will 21 Savage be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026
kalshi·89 markets·2 tenor·4d – 5w
$79.7K
24h
Ariana Grande
91%
Ariana Grande
88%
Ella Langley
83%
Drake
57%
Bruno Mars
8%
Outcome slate
Who Will be the Next Prime Minister of Israel After the Next
polymarket·17 markets·1 tenor
$78.7K
24h
Naftali Bennett
39%
Benjamin Netanyahu
35%
Gadi Eizenkot
17%
Avigdor Lieberman
4%
Yair Lapid
1%
Outcome slate
Who will win California's top-two primary for governor
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·5mo – 12mo
$77.8K
24h
Steve Hilton
87%
Xavier Becerra
82%
Tom Steyer
25%
Chad Bianco
4%
Katie Porter
1%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in LA** be 65-66° on May 28, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$77.4K
24h
67° to 68°
66%
68° to 69°
43%
70° to 71°
27%
65° to 66°
22%
72° to 73°
13%
Outcome slate
Will Reza Pahlavi Enter Iran
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$77.1K
24h
December 31
12%
June 30
2%
May 31
0%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in Miami** be 85-86° on May 28, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·0d – 1d
$77.1K
24h
85° to 86°
44%
90° to 91°
39%
87° to 88°
38%
88° to 89°
29%
92° or above
13%
Outcome slate
Will Andrea LaFlamme be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$75.3K
24h
Graham Platner
99%
Andrea LaFlamme
1%
David Costello
1%
Outcome slate
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$74.9K
24h
Democratic party
65%
Republican party
35%
Outcome slate
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.340
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$72.3K
24h
Above 4.340
31%
Above 4.360
19%
Above 4.600
5%
Above 4.380
4%
Above 4.400
4%
Outcome slate
Which Company Has the Best AI Model End of
polymarket·15 markets·1 tenor
$70.4K
24h
Anthropic
99%
Google
1%
Meituan
0%
ByteDance
0%
Baidu
0%
Outcome slate
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 330ㅤ
kalshi·33 markets·2 tenor·13d – 7w
$70.3K
24h
Above 330ㅤ
99%
Above 345ㅤ
99%
Above 355ㅤ
99%
Above 360ㅤ
99%
Above 365ㅤ
99%
Outcome slate
Venezuela Leader End of
polymarket·16 markets·1 tenor
$68.8K
24h
Nicolás Maduro
68%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
4%
Edmundo González
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Outcome slate
Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party
kalshi·22 markets·1 tenor
$68.3K
24h
J.D. Vance
32%
Marco Rubio
28%
Tucker Carlson
6%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Outcome slate
Next UK Prime Minister
polymarket·21 markets·1 tenor
$66.5K
24h
Andy Burnham
53%
No Next PM in 2026
26%
Angela Rayner
9%
Ed Miliband
7%
Wes Streeting
3%
Outcome slate
What will be Devin Booker's next team
kalshi·225 markets·2 tenor·5mo – 5mo
$66.1K
24h
Stays with Cleveland or Retires
71%
Stays with Phoenix or Retires
69%
Stays with Golden State or Retires
51%
Miami
29%
Miami
26%
Outcome slate
Will Alabama win the College Basketball National Championship
kalshi·34 markets·1 tenor
$65.9K
24h
Duke
13%
Florida
11%
Michigan
10%
Illinois
8%
UConn
7%
Outcome slate
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 12%
kalshi·141 markets·6 tenors·11mo – 15mo
$65.4K
24h
Keisha Lance Bottoms, ≥25%
99%
Ed Gallrein, 5-10%
99%
Houston Gaines, ≥25%
98%
Christine Drazan, 5-10%
97%
Spencer Pratt wins
19%
Outcome slate
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11
kalshi·6 markets·1 tenor
$64.8K
24h
Above $85,000.00
1%
Above $87,500.00
1%
Above $90,000.00
1%
Above $92,500.00
1%
Above $95,000.00
1%
Outcome slate
Charles Schwab Challenge
kalshi·156 markets·4 tenors·2w – 7w
$64.2K
24h
Alex Smalley
85%
Adam Schenk
80%
Brian Harman
80%
Ben Griffin
71%
Andrew Putnam
66%
Outcome slate
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027
kalshi·27 markets·1 tenor
$63.7K
24h
70,000 to 74,999.99
7%
75,000 to 79,999.99
7%
80,000 to 84,999.99
7%
150,000 or above
6%
50,000 to 54,999.99
5%
Outcome slate
2nd Largest Company End of
polymarket·8 markets·1 tenor
$63.6K
24h
Alphabet
98%
Apple
2%
NVIDIA
0%
Microsoft
0%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Outcome slate
Will Democrats win the House in 2026
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·7mo – 2.6y
$63.5K
24h
Democratic Party
76%
Democratic party
65%
Republican party
25%
Republican Party
23%
Outcome slate
Texas Senate Election
polymarket·2 markets·1 tenor
$63.4K
24h
Ken Paxton (R)
60%
James Talarico (D)
41%
Outcome slate
California Governor Primary Election First
polymarket·18 markets·1 tenor
$62.6K
24h
Xavier Becerra
65%
Steve Hilton
27%
Tom Steyer
11%
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%
Chad Bianco
0%
Outcome slate
Best AI in May 2026
kalshi·19 markets·3 tenors·2d – 7mo
$60.4K
24h
Term structure
Will Oklahoma City vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$60.3K
24h
Oklahoma City vs New York
76%
San Antonio vs New York
23%
Outcome slate
Which Cartel Leaders Will be Arrested
polymarket·7 markets·1 tenor
$60.1K
24h
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
60%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
60%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
50%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
49%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
46%
Outcome slate
Spacex IPO
polymarket·6 markets·6 tenors·2d – 7mo
$59.2K
24h
Term structure
What Price Will XRP Hit in
polymarket·14 markets·1 tenor
$58.6K
24h
↓ 1.20
7%
↑ 1.60
1%
↑ 2.80
0%
↑ 1.80
0%
↓ 0.80
0%
Outcome slate
Will Boston College be the Athens Regional champions
kalshi·64 markets·1 tenor
$58.5K
24h
UCLA
88%
Georgia Tech
85%
Texas
83%
Mississippi State
80%
Georgia
78%
Outcome slate
Mohammed Bin Salman Out as Leader of Saudi Arabia
polymarket·2 markets·2 tenor·5w – 7mo
$57.7K
24h
December 31
6%
June 30
1%
Outcome slate
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5
kalshi·20 markets·1 tenor
$57.4K
24h
above $80.99
98%
above $82.99
97%
above $84.99
94%
above $86.99
91%
above $88.99
81%
Outcome slate
Next Prime Minister of
polymarket·45 markets·5 tenors·68d ago – 2.6y
$56.5K
24h
Term structure
Will Adam Miller and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary
kalshi·10 markets·1 tenor
$56.4K
24h
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt
65%
Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
26%
Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt
6%
Spencer Pratt vs. Rae Huang
5%
Spencer Pratt vs. Adam Miller
4%
Outcome slate
Indiana vs Golden State winner
kalshi·12 markets·3 tenors·2w – 2w
$56.1K
24h
Term structure
Arsenal wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$53.8K
24h
PSG wins by over 1.5 goals
21%
Arsenal wins by over 1.5 goals
12%
PSG wins by over 2.5 goals
7%
Arsenal wins by over 2.5 goals
3%
Outcome slate
Will Steve Hilton finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$53.8K
24h
Xavier Becerra
64%
Steve Hilton
26%
Tom Steyer
9%
Outcome slate
Gc Hit
polymarket·22 markets·1 tenor
$53.7K
24h
↓ $4,400
65%
↓ $4,300
50%
↑ $4,800
30%
↓ $4,200
23%
↑ $4,900
14%
Outcome slate
Mens Wimbledon Winner
polymarket·39 markets·1 tenor
$53.6K
24h
Jannik Sinner
59%
Novak Djokovic
15%
Alexander Zverev
6%
Jack Draper
4%
Ben Shelton
3%
Outcome slate
Fif Bih Mac
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$52.9K
24h
Bosnia and Herzegovina
56%
Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia)
26%
North Macedonia
19%
Outcome slate
Ballon Dor Winner
polymarket·24 markets·1 tenor
$52.8K
24h
Harry Kane
25%
Ousmane Dembélé
23%
Declan Rice
11%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lamine Yamal
10%
Outcome slate
Murodjon Akhmadaliev vs Hegly Mosqueda Winner
kalshi·66 markets·6 tenors·2w – 4mo
$51.1K
24h
Term structure
Will Russia Capture Havrylivka
polymarket·2 markets·1 tenor
$51.0K
24h
June 30
9%
May 31
2%
Outcome slate
Top US Netflix Show on Jun 1, 2026
kalshi·11 markets·1 tenor
$50.3K
24h
Season 1
86%
Season 2
8%
Season 1
1%
Season 1
1%
Season 1
1%
Outcome slate
Will Mirra Andreeva win the Andreeva vs Bouzkova
kalshi·26 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$49.3K
24h
Iga Swiatek
93%
Elina Svitolina
92%
Marta Kostyuk
91%
Karolina Muchova
89%
Mirra Andreeva
85%
Outcome slate
Which Continent Will Win the FIFA World Cup
polymarket·6 markets·1 tenor
$47.8K
24h
Europe
71%
South America
23%
Asia
3%
Africa
3%
North America
2%
Outcome slate
Busan Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket·12 markets·1 tenor
$47.6K
24h
Chun Jae-soo
80%
Park Heong-joon
21%
Kim Young-choon
0%
Lee Jae-sung
0%
Park Seong-hoon
0%
Outcome slate
Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16
kalshi·187 markets·2 tenor·9w – 10w
$47.1K
24h
Spain
78%
France
77%
Brazil
71%
Germany
71%
England
70%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on May 28, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·0d – 1d
$46.3K
24h
68° to 69°
59%
67° or below
43%
68° to 69°
27%
70° to 71°
24%
70° to 71°
17%
Outcome slate
What will be Davante Adams's next team
kalshi·308 markets·5 tenors·3mo – 15mo
$45.4K
24h
Stays with Cincinnati or Retires from Pro Football
94%
Green Bay
68%
Stays with Los Angeles R or Retires from Pro Football
68%
Pittsburgh
59%
Philadelphia
18%
Outcome slate
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$45.0K
24h
Donald Trump
5%
Benjamin Netanyahu
4%
Miguel Díaz‑Canel
3%
Elon Musk
2%
Greta Thunberg
1%
Outcome slate
What Price Will Xauusd Hit in
polymarket·15 markets·1 tenor
$44.2K
24h
↑ $4,600
19%
↓ $4,300
4%
↑ $4,650
4%
↑ $4,700
4%
↓ $4,200
2%
Outcome slate
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$43.7K
24h
Iván Cepeda Castro
71%
Abelardo de la Espriella
29%
Outcome slate
Will Donald Trump leave office before August 1, 2026
kalshi·4 markets·4 tenors·9w – 2.7y
$43.6K
24h
Term structure
Claude 5 Released
polymarket·3 markets·3 tenors·2d – 4mo
$43.5K
24h
Term structure
Malta Parliamentary Election
polymarket·6 markets·1 tenor
$43.2K
24h
Labour Party
93%
Nationalist Party
7%
Aħwa Maltin
0%
Imperium Europa
0%
AD+PD
0%
Outcome slate
Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election
polymarket·9 markets·1 tenor
$43.2K
24h
Park Soo-hyun
84%
Kim Tae-heum
17%
Kang Hoon-sik
0%
Yoon Sang-hyun
0%
Yang Seung-jo
0%
Outcome slate
Will Aroldis Chapman win AL Cy Young
kalshi·42 markets·1 tenor
$43.1K
24h
Cam Schlittler
41%
Dylan Cease
9%
Jacob Degrom
8%
Gavin Williams
5%
Joe Ryan
5%
Outcome slate
NBA Playoffs Western Conference
polymarket·2 markets·1 tenor
$42.6K
24h
Oklahoma City Thunder
77%
San Antonio Spurs
23%
Outcome slate
Netanyahu Out Before
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$42.5K
24h
December 31
44%
June 30
4%
May 31
0%
Outcome slate
What will Scott Bessent say during White House Press Briefing
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$42.3K
24h
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
93%
Trump Account
88%
Trump (3+ times)
86%
Hormuz
85%
Nuclear
85%
Outcome slate
Will Dinorah Figuera be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·1 tenor
$41.8K
24h
Nicolás Maduro
98%
Edmundo González
2%
María Corina Machado
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Outcome slate
Will China Invade Taiwan
polymarket·4 markets·4 tenors·5w – 19mo
$41.2K
24h
Term structure
Fif Ire Qat
polymarket·3 markets·1 tenor
$39.9K
24h
Republic of Ireland
66%
Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar)
22%
Qatar
14%
Outcome slate