Event families
Prediction market yield curves and outcome slates
2,407 event families across Kalshi and Polymarket. Each family groups multiple markets that share an underlying event — either spread over time (a real yield curve) or competing for the same outcome on one resolution date (an outcome slate).
Top families shown
200
Real term structures
22
≥3 distinct tenors
Outcome slates
178
single resolution date
24h volume tracked
$42.8M
Read the framework: The Valuation Funnel
Venue
200 of 200 families match
Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$11.6M
24h
France
39%
England
21%
Spain
20%
Argentina
18%
Outcome slate
France vs Spain
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·4w – 4w
$6.2M
24h
France advances
59%
England advances
54%
Argentina advances
46%
Spain advances
40%
Outcome slate
What will be Zion Williamson's next team
kalshi·523 markets·2 tenor·3mo – 3mo
$3.6M
24h
Washington
98%
Stays with New Orleans or Retires
61%
Stays with New Orleans or Retires
51%
Portland
13%
Detroit
11%
Outcome slate
Will the final score be Draw 0-0
kalshi·51 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$1.9M
24h
Draw 1-1
15%
Draw 1-1
14%
France wins 2-1
10%
England wins 1-0
10%
France wins 1-0
9%
Outcome slate
Will France play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$1.4M
24h
France vs England
33%
France vs Argentina
28%
Spain vs England
21%
Spain vs Argentina
18%
Outcome slate
Will Joe Dean win the The Open Last-Chance Qualifier
kalshi·49 markets·2 tenor·2w – 3w
$1.2M
24h
Aldrich Potgieter
17%
Matti Schmid
15%
Scottie Scheffler
11%
Joe Dean
10%
Angel Hidalgo
10%
Outcome slate
Aurelien Tchouameni
kalshi·38 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$961.5K
24h
1+
45%
1+
38%
1+
36%
1+
26%
1+
26%
Outcome slate
Will Aniya and Bryce win Love Island USA Season 8
kalshi·133 markets·1 tenor
$940.5K
24h
Trinity and Bryce
95%
Melanie and Sincere
2%
Aniya and Bryce
1%
Aniya and Gabriel
1%
Aniya and KC
1%
Outcome slate
England vs India Winner
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$873.6K
24h
India
98%
England
1%
Outcome slate
Will Kylian Mbappe lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$828.4K
24h
Kylian Mbappe
60%
Lionel Messi
32%
Harry Kane
3%
Jude Bellingham
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Outcome slate
Will Aniya and Bryce finish in the Top 3 Couples in Love Island USA Season 8
kalshi·255 markets·1 tenor
$692.5K
24h
Trinity and Bryce
99%
Aniya and Corbin
97%
Beatriz and Caleb
97%
Alannah and KC
97%
Alannah and Corbin
97%
Outcome slate
Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$622.7K
24h
France
58%
England
55%
Argentina
46%
Spain
38%
Outcome slate
France vs Spain Winner
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$551.0K
24h
France
42%
England
36%
Tie
32%
Argentina
30%
Spain
29%
Outcome slate
Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Jul 13, 2026
kalshi·19 markets·1 tenor
$476.0K
24h
Newscum
99%
Fraud
19%
Cuba / Cuban
11%
Transgender
10%
Melania
8%
Outcome slate
Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028
kalshi·21 markets·1 tenor
$419.8K
24h
Gavin Newsom
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Jon Ossoff
13%
Kamala Harris
8%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Outcome slate
Will both teams score
kalshi·2 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$391.0K
24h
Both Teams To Score
60%
Both Teams To Score
51%
Outcome slate
Will Seattle win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship
kalshi·22 markets·1 tenor
$319.9K
24h
Los Angeles D
31%
New York Y
12%
Milwaukee
9%
Seattle
7%
Atlanta
7%
Outcome slate
Will France get eliminated in the Semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·12 markets·1 tenor
$313.7K
24h
Semifinals
59%
Semifinals
53%
Semifinals
46%
Semifinals
39%
Outright Winner
39%
Outcome slate
Bitcoin price on Jul 17, 2026
kalshi·48 markets·1 tenor
$311.7K
24h
$51,500 or above
99%
$52,000 or above
99%
$53,500 or above
99%
$52,500 or above
98%
$53,000 or above
98%
Outcome slate
What will the announcers say during France vs Spain
kalshi·69 markets·2 tenor·2w – 3w
$270.4K
24h
Messi
92%
Comeback / Come Back
91%
Messi
89%
Gianni / Infantino
89%
Comeback / Come Back
86%
Outcome slate
Will France win in Regulation Time
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$254.8K
24h
France to win in Regulation Time
41%
England to win in Regulation Time
38%
Argentina to win in Regulation Time
30%
Spain to win in Regulation Time
29%
France to win in Penalty Shootout
9%
Outcome slate
Moana Rotten Tomatoes score
kalshi·153 markets·6 tenors·1d – 5mo
$251.5K
24h
Above 20
99%
Above 22
99%
Above 25
99%
Above 27
99%
Above 30
99%
Outcome slate
Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0
kalshi·26 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$243.6K
24h
Draw 1H 0-0
34%
Draw 1H 0-0
31%
France wins 1H 1-0
18%
Spain wins 1H 1-0
15%
England wins 1H 1-0
14%
Outcome slate
Who will win the next presidential election
kalshi·24 markets·1 tenor
$240.3K
24h
J.D. Vance
17%
Marco Rubio
16%
Gavin Newsom
11%
Jon Ossoff
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Outcome slate
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot
kalshi·223 markets·1 tenor
$238.9K
24h
Lionel Messi
47%
Lionel Messi
41%
Harry Kane
28%
Kylian Mbappe
26%
Kylian Mbappe
26%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in LA** be <72° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$225.9K
24h
77° or above
58%
78° to 79°
39%
76° to 77°
31%
75° to 76°
25%
80° or above
21%
Outcome slate
Will over 0.5 goals be scored
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$225.7K
24h
Over 0.5 goals scored
93%
Over 0.5 goals scored
90%
Over 1.5 goals scored
77%
Over 1.5 goals scored
68%
Over 2.5 goals scored
51%
Outcome slate
Will Arizona win the 2027 Pro Football Championship
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$215.8K
24h
Los Angeles R
15%
Seattle
7%
Buffalo
6%
Kansas City
6%
Baltimore
5%
Outcome slate
Will Switzerland win the third-place match at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·6 markets·1 tenor
$186.5K
24h
Spain
36%
France
23%
Argentina
22%
England
18%
Switzerland
1%
Outcome slate
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 Men's World Cup
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$180.8K
24h
Europe
80%
South America
18%
Outcome slate
Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·16mo – 3.3y
$178.0K
24h
Republican party
81%
Republican party
77%
Annie Andrews
19%
Democratic party
17%
Outcome slate
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 64.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 13, 2026
kalshi·105 markets·3 tenors·1d – 4mo
$176.4K
24h
Above $64.49
99%
Above $64.99
99%
Above $65.49
99%
Above $65.99
99%
Above $66.49
99%
Outcome slate
The Open Championship
kalshi·225 markets·3 tenors·3w – 5w
$162.4K
24h
Lucas Glover
97%
Tim Wiedemeyer
91%
Max Homa
91%
Davis Bryant
91%
Stephan Jaeger
90%
Outcome slate
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting
kalshi·65 markets·13 tenors·2w – 19mo
$162.3K
24h
Term structure
Will all teams collectively score at least 290 goals in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$155.8K
24h
290+ goals
99%
300+ goals
78%
310+ goals
5%
320+ goals
1%
330+ goals
1%
Outcome slate
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi·8 markets·8 tenors·3w – 2.5y
$154.6K
24h
Term structure
Will it be confirmed that No one is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026
kalshi·17 markets·1 tenor
$148.6K
24h
Troy Jackson
66%
Shenna Bellows
19%
Nirav Shah
9%
Dan Kleban
2%
No one
1%
Outcome slate
Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$144.3K
24h
Kylian Mbappé
53%
Lionel Messi
30%
Tie
18%
Outcome slate
Will the winner of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup be any country not ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking at the time of issuance
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$137.6K
24h
Any country ranked outside the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking to win
1%
Any country ranked outside the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking to reach the semifinals
1%
Outcome slate
Best AI in Jul 2026
kalshi·19 markets·3 tenors·1d – 6mo
$136.4K
24h
Term structure
The Open Championship
kalshi·155 markets·3 tenors·3w – 5w
$135.4K
24h
Lucas Glover
71%
David Duval
62%
Stephan Jaeger
56%
Aaron Wise
53%
Steven Fisk
52%
Outcome slate
The Open Championship
kalshi·199 markets·3 tenors·3w – 5w
$125.3K
24h
Lucas Glover
91%
Steven Fisk
78%
Stephan Jaeger
76%
Chan Kim
69%
Zac Blair
60%
Outcome slate
France wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi·8 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$121.5K
24h
France wins by more than 1.5 goals
20%
England wins by more than 1.5 goals
15%
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals
12%
Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals
11%
France wins by more than 2.5 goals
7%
Outcome slate
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $65000.00 by 11
kalshi·8 markets·1 tenor
$118.3K
24h
Above $65,000.00
84%
Above $67,500.00
47%
Above $70,000.00
22%
Above $72,500.00
11%
Above $75,000.00
5%
Outcome slate
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show
kalshi·131 markets·1 tenor
$110.2K
24h
KAROL G
14%
Future
9%
Bad Bunny
7%
Drake
6%
Post Malone
6%
Outcome slate
Will Reform UK win the 2026 Clacton by-election
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$107.9K
24h
Reform UK
90%
Count Binface Party
8%
Conservative Party
1%
Labour Party
1%
Restore Britain
1%
Outcome slate
Will Aniya win Love Island USA Season 8
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$106.2K
24h
Trinity
95%
Bryce
95%
Aniya
3%
Carl
3%
Melanie
2%
Outcome slate
Will France win the 1st Half
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$104.0K
24h
Tie 1st Half
46%
Tie 1st Half
44%
France wins 1st Half
31%
England wins 1st Half
26%
Argentina wins 1st Half
25%
Outcome slate
Will a team from Group B win the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$94.1K
24h
Group I
39%
Group L
20%
Group H
19%
Group J
19%
Group B
1%
Outcome slate
Aurelien Tchouameni
kalshi·21 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$89.5K
24h
Kylian Mbappe
60%
Lionel Messi
49%
Lamine Yamal
43%
Ousmane Dembele
42%
Michael Olise
41%
Outcome slate
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August
kalshi·8 markets·8 tenors·3w – 2.5y
$88.9K
24h
Term structure
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$86.0K
24h
Byron Donalds
95%
James Fishback
4%
Jay Collins
1%
Outcome slate
Will Ohio St. win the College Football Playoff National Championship
kalshi·50 markets·1 tenor
$81.6K
24h
Notre Dame
11%
Texas
10%
Oregon
10%
Miami (FL)
10%
Ohio St.
8%
Outcome slate
Will Atlanta win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals
kalshi·30 markets·1 tenor
$81.3K
24h
Oklahoma City
21%
San Antonio
19%
Philadelphia
7%
Boston
6%
New York
6%
Outcome slate
Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 Home Run Derby
kalshi·8 markets·1 tenor
$81.2K
24h
Kyle Schwarber
22%
Junior Caminero
15%
Munetaka Murakami
14%
Jac Caglianone
12%
Jordan Walker
12%
Outcome slate
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$80.9K
24h
60,000 to 64,999.99
11%
65,000 to 69,999.99
11%
50,000 to 54,999.99
8%
45,000 to 49,999.99
7%
55,000 to 59,999.99
7%
Outcome slate
Will Rodney Scott leaves CBP Commissioner in before 2027
kalshi·32 markets·2 tenor·6mo – 6mo
$76.5K
24h
Todd Blanche
66%
Amy Gleason
62%
Kash Patel
56%
Howard Lutnick
34%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
31%
Outcome slate
Will France be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·6 markets·1 tenor
$73.5K
24h
France
48%
Spain
28%
England
20%
Switzerland
2%
Norway
1%
Outcome slate
Will there be more than 100 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·18 markets·2 tenor·2d – 9d
$67.2K
24h
Above 100
98%
Above 125
78%
Above 50
71%
Above 75
43%
Above 150
18%
Outcome slate
Will both teams score in the 1st Half
kalshi·2 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$67.2K
24h
Both Teams To Score
21%
Both Teams To Score
17%
Outcome slate
Top US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·1 tenor
$65.6K
24h
Old Henry
81%
Enola Holmes 3
2%
Little Brother
1%
Voicemails for Isabelle
1%
Homecoming
1%
Outcome slate
What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News
kalshi·11 markets·1 tenor
$61.5K
24h
Zohran / Mamdani
99%
Election
99%
Antisemitism / Antisemitic
99%
Democrat
99%
Event does not qualify
1%
Outcome slate
Will France record the first goal of the game
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$60.0K
24h
France
53%
England
44%
Spain
42%
Argentina
42%
No Goal
8%
Outcome slate
Will Adrien Rabiot score the most goals for France in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·52 markets·1 tenor
$59.1K
24h
Lionel Messi
99%
Kylian Mbappe
95%
Mikel Oyarzabal
94%
Harry Kane
54%
Jude Bellingham
44%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in Miami** be <90° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$56.6K
24h
94° to 95°
50%
94° to 95°
46%
92° to 93°
44%
92° to 93°
29%
96° to 97°
14%
Outcome slate
KXWCFIRSTGOAL
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$52.1K
24h
Kylian Mbappe
22%
Harry Kane
17%
Lionel Messi
17%
Lamine Yamal
7%
No Goal
5%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <82° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$51.5K
24h
84° to 85°
68%
84° to 85°
39%
82° to 83°
30%
82° to 83°
25%
86° to 87°
12%
Outcome slate
Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final
kalshi·33 markets·1 tenor
$49.6K
24h
Adidas
91%
Anthropic / Claude
67%
DoorDash
59%
McDonald's
59%
Nike
58%
Outcome slate
Will Red Bull Racing win the F1 Constructors Championship
kalshi·11 markets·1 tenor
$49.4K
24h
Mercedes AMG Motorsport
84%
Ferrari
12%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Haas
1%
Audi
1%
Outcome slate
What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press
kalshi·6 markets·1 tenor
$45.6K
24h
Trump (3+ times)
1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Election
1%
Ceasefire
1%
Outcome slate
Will Dricus Du Plessis win the Du Plessis vs Usman professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 18, 2026
kalshi·24 markets·1 tenor
$44.8K
24h
Alden Coria
86%
Dione Barbosa
77%
Fatima Kline
74%
Christian Duncan
71%
Chase Hooper
70%
Outcome slate
KXWCTCORNERS
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$44.6K
24h
5+
60%
4+
56%
5+
55%
5+
47%
7+
26%
Outcome slate
Will Democrats win the House in 2026
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·6mo – 2.5y
$43.7K
24h
Democratic Party
81%
Democratic party
77%
Republican Party
18%
Republican party
17%
Outcome slate
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026
kalshi·105 markets·5 tenors·2d – 5mo
$43.0K
24h
Term structure
Will Lando Norris win the F1 Drivers Championship
kalshi·22 markets·1 tenor
$42.9K
24h
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
60%
George Russell
17%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Max Verstappen
2%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Outcome slate
Will England advance further than Spain in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·3 markets·1 tenor
$41.6K
24h
England advances further than Spain
40%
Spain advances further than England
29%
Eliminated same stage
28%
Outcome slate
Will France score over 0.5 goals
kalshi·15 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$39.2K
24h
France over 0.5 goals
80%
Spain over 0.5 goals
74%
England over 0.5 goals
72%
Argentina over 0.5 goals
68%
France over 1.5 goals
44%
Outcome slate
8+ corners
kalshi·10 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$38.9K
24h
8+ corners
80%
7+ corners
77%
9+ corners
69%
8+ corners
63%
10+ corners
57%
Outcome slate
Will drop dead be 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in July 2026
kalshi·11 markets·2 tenor·13d – 7w
$38.1K
24h
Choosin' Texas
87%
hate that i made you love me
28%
Be Her
2%
I Knew It, I Knew You
2%
drop dead
1%
Outcome slate
Will Ashley Trail be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 17, 2026
kalshi·16 markets·1 tenor
$38.1K
24h
Yash Patel
49%
Taylor Brown
30%
Ashley Trail
27%
Melody Morris
10%
Kamu Kirk
3%
Outcome slate
Will Seattle win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$37.8K
24h
New York Y
26%
Seattle
17%
Tampa Bay
16%
Texas
9%
Chicago WS
6%
Outcome slate
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026
kalshi·31 markets·1 tenor
$37.2K
24h
Kylian Mbappe
31%
Harry Kane
29%
Ousmane Dembele
15%
Lionel Messi
12%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Outcome slate
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 71 USD/Bbl on July 13, 2026 at 5
kalshi·20 markets·1 tenor
$37.1K
24h
above $71
99%
above $71.50
99%
above $72
97%
above $72.50
97%
above $73
97%
Outcome slate
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$35.4K
24h
D-House, D-Senate
44%
D-House, R-Senate
37%
R-House, R-Senate
17%
R-House, D-Senate
2%
Outcome slate
Will the furthest stage advanced to by any South America nation be the Semifinals
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$35.4K
24h
Winning the Final
79%
Semifinals
53%
Losing the Final
29%
Winning the Final
17%
Losing the Final
17%
Outcome slate
#2 US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026
kalshi·10 markets·1 tenor
$35.0K
24h
Enola Holmes 3
9%
Homecoming
3%
Little Brother
1%
Voicemails for Isabelle
1%
Maternal Instinct
1%
Outcome slate
Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother Season 28
kalshi·16 markets·1 tenor
$35.0K
24h
Barrett Pfeiffer
9%
Chuk Anyanwu
7%
Drew Campbell
7%
Ashley Trail
6%
Kamu Kirk
6%
Outcome slate
Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$34.3K
24h
Above 1 inch
14%
Above 2 inches
5%
Above 3 inches
1%
Above 4 inches
1%
Above 5 inches
1%
Outcome slate
Will Djo be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in July 2026
kalshi·47 markets·1 tenor
$34.1K
24h
Ariana Grande
86%
Justin Bieber
34%
Morgan Wallen
17%
HUNTR/X
15%
Olivia Rodrigo
13%
Outcome slate
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars
kalshi·34 markets·1 tenor
$33.2K
24h
The Odyssey
38%
Part Three
17%
Digger
11%
Wild Horse Nine
7%
Project Hail Mary
7%
Outcome slate
Bitcoin price range on Jul 17, 2026
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$32.8K
24h
$64,000 to 64,499.99
8%
$63,500 to 63,999.99
7%
$63,000 to 63,499.99
6%
$65,000 to 65,499.99
6%
$62,500 to 62,999.99
5%
Outcome slate
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 55.99 USD/Bbl on July 17, 2026 at 5
kalshi·20 markets·1 tenor
$31.9K
24h
above $55.99
98%
above $57.99
98%
above $59.99
98%
above $61.99
98%
above $63.99
98%
Outcome slate
Will Ketel Marte be selected to the 2026 NL All-Star Team
kalshi·47 markets·1 tenor
$31.7K
24h
Ivan Herrera
99%
Riley O'Brien
99%
Justin Wrobleski
99%
Munetaka Murakami
99%
Ernie Clement
99%
Outcome slate
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General
kalshi·10 markets·1 tenor
$30.8K
24h
Todd Blanche
69%
Lee Zeldin
6%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Andrew Bailey
1%
Jeanine Pirro
1%
Outcome slate
Will Michael Olise score 2+ goals in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
kalshi·19 markets·1 tenor
$30.4K
24h
9+ goals
68%
9+ goals
61%
10+ goals
45%
2+ goals
42%
2+ goals
34%
Outcome slate
Will Hips Don't Lie be the first song performed by any of Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS) during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium
kalshi·37 markets·1 tenor
$30.1K
24h
Dai Dai
48%
Waka Waka (This Time for Africa)
4%
Hips Don't Lie
2%
SWIM
2%
Dynamite
2%
Outcome slate
Will both teams score in the 2nd Half
kalshi·2 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$29.2K
24h
Both Teams To Score
31%
Both Teams To Score
24%
Outcome slate
Aurelien Tchouameni
kalshi·26 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$28.7K
24h
1+
28%
1+
22%
1+
22%
1+
21%
1+
18%
Outcome slate
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting
kalshi·98 markets·7 tenors·2w – 10mo
$27.3K
24h
Term structure
Will the minimum temperature be <60° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$26.8K
24h
60° to 61°
93%
64° to 65°
28%
62° to 63°
22%
66° to 67°
16%
61° or below
9%
Outcome slate
Jun 2026 temperature increase
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·3d – 5w
$26.8K
24h
1.03 to 1.09
99%
1.17 to 1.23
32%
1.10 to 1.16
24%
1.24 to 1.30
11%
1.04 to 1.09
10%
Outcome slate
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026
kalshi·17 markets·2 tenor·3w – 6mo
$26.6K
24h
Above 10
98%
Above 11
96%
Above 120
95%
Above 140
84%
Above 12
83%
Outcome slate
Will Taylor Swift be Time Person of the Year in 2026
kalshi·23 markets·1 tenor
$26.0K
24h
Donald Trump
17%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Pope Leo XIV
16%
Elon Musk
12%
AI
10%
Outcome slate
What will the announcers say during Brewers vs Pirates Professional Baseball Game
kalshi·37 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$25.7K
24h
PNC Park
90%
Trade / Traded
88%
Sweep / Swept
87%
Trade / Traded
83%
Bunt / Bunted
79%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026
kalshi·26 markets·2 tenor·3w – 6mo
$25.2K
24h
74.01 or above
82%
74.51 or above
71%
75.01 or above
54%
76.51 or above
48%
77.01 or above
42%
Outcome slate
Will the President's approval rating be below 39.6 according to RealClearPolitics
kalshi·8 markets·1 tenor
$25.0K
24h
40.8 to 41.0
26%
41.1 to 41.3
24%
Above 41.3
17%
40.5 to 40.7
16%
40.2 to 40.4
8%
Outcome slate
Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party
kalshi·19 markets·1 tenor
$24.9K
24h
J.D. Vance
41%
Marco Rubio
28%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
4%
Donald J. Trump
3%
Outcome slate
Will either team advance in Regulation Time
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$24.6K
24h
Either team to advance in Regulation Time
68%
Either team to advance in Regulation Time
66%
Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout
20%
Either team to advance in Extra Time
17%
Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout
16%
Outcome slate
Will Coinbase Global Inc. report above $150 billion total trading volume in Q2 2026
kalshi·22 markets·1 tenor
$24.4K
24h
Above 7 million
87%
Above 7.5 million
73%
Above $160 billion
66%
Above $150 billion
64%
Above $170 billion
53%
Outcome slate
#2 Global Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026
kalshi·10 markets·1 tenor
$24.0K
24h
Voicemails for Isabelle
15%
Enola Holmes 3
11%
Little Brother
4%
Retribution
4%
Maternal Instinct
3%
Outcome slate
Over 0.5 1H goals scored
kalshi·8 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$24.0K
24h
Over 0.5 1H goals scored
67%
Over 0.5 1H goals scored
61%
Over 1.5 1H goals scored
31%
Over 1.5 1H goals scored
27%
Over 2.5 1H goals scored
10%
Outcome slate
Will Baltimore win the Pro Football AFC Championship
kalshi·16 markets·1 tenor
$23.7K
24h
Buffalo
14%
Kansas City
13%
Baltimore
12%
Los Angeles C
11%
Houston
10%
Outcome slate
What will James Corden say during FOX
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$23.5K
24h
Gianni / Infantino
1%
Mbappe
1%
Harry / Kane
1%
Viking
1%
Outcome slate
Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP
kalshi·53 markets·1 tenor
$23.2K
24h
Shohei Ohtani
83%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
11%
Kyle Schwarber
4%
Geraldo Perdomo
2%
Paul Skenes
2%
Outcome slate
Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27
kalshi·19 markets·1 tenor
$23.2K
24h
Victor Wembanyama
88%
Jalen Brunson
11%
LeBron James
7%
OG Anunoby
6%
Josh Hart
4%
Outcome slate
Will the high temp in Chicago be <82° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$22.8K
24h
86° to 87°
66%
84° to 85°
32%
91° to 92°
27%
89° to 90°
26%
93° to 94°
22%
Outcome slate
Who will win the governorship in California
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$21.1K
24h
Xavier Becerra
92%
Steve Hilton
7%
Outcome slate
Will cartunez by Ken Carson have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026 tracking week
kalshi·220 markets·7 tenors·7d – 8w
$20.9K
24h
Above 20K
99%
Above 40K
99%
Above 80K
99%
Above 60K
98%
Above 100K
98%
Outcome slate
Will Oscar Piastri finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix
kalshi·14 markets·1 tenor
$20.5K
24h
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
36%
George Russell
21%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Charles Leclerc
10%
Max Verstappen
6%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <86° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$20.0K
24h
92° to 93°
55%
90° to 91°
39%
83° to 84°
29%
85° to 86°
29%
80° or below
24%
Outcome slate
Who will win Heisman Trophy
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$19.8K
24h
CJ Carr
12%
Arch Manning
11%
Darian Mensah
7%
John Mateer
7%
Julian Sayin
6%
Outcome slate
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be below 65.00 USD/Bbl on Jul 17, 2026
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$19.8K
24h
Above $77.99
14%
$71.00 to $71.99
10%
$73.00 to $73.99
10%
$70.00 to $70.99
9%
$72.00 to $72.99
9%
Outcome slate
Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $1750 on 3
kalshi·40 markets·3 tenors·1d – 6d
$19.6K
24h
Term structure
Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball National League Championship
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$19.4K
24h
Los Angeles D
45%
Milwaukee
17%
Atlanta
10%
Philadelphia
10%
Chicago C
7%
Outcome slate
Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$19.4K
24h
Rachel Cherwitz
25%
Keonne Rodriguez
19%
Nicole Daedone
19%
John Kiriakou
11%
Steve Bannon
10%
Outcome slate
Will Paul Skenes win NL Cy Young
kalshi·46 markets·1 tenor
$19.3K
24h
Jacob Misiorowski
63%
Cristopher Sanchez
10%
Chris Sale
4%
Zack Wheeler
4%
Paul Skenes
2%
Outcome slate
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 4 between Jul 6, 2026 and Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$18.8K
24h
6
95%
5
4%
4
1%
7
1%
Outcome slate
Will Atlanta be the 2026 Pro Basketball Summer League champion
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$18.2K
24h
Washington
21%
Memphis
16%
Atlanta
15%
Miami
14%
Milwaukee
14%
Outcome slate
Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$18.1K
24h
0
92%
1
6%
2
1%
3
1%
4
1%
Outcome slate
Will Aidan win Love Island UK Season 13
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$17.4K
24h
Lorenzo
53%
Julia
45%
Kavan
26%
Jasmine
24%
Ellie
21%
Outcome slate
Will Sheldon Creed be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion
kalshi·40 markets·1 tenor
$17.3K
24h
Justin Allgaier
30%
Kyle Sieg
5%
Joey Gase
5%
Lavar Scott
5%
Mason Maggio
5%
Outcome slate
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$17.0K
24h
Above 50
58%
Above 60
37%
Above 70
34%
Above 80
32%
Above 90
31%
Outcome slate
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$16.9K
24h
Abdul El-Sayed
77%
Haley Stevens
22%
Outcome slate
Will Mandela Barnes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin
kalshi·4 markets·1 tenor
$16.8K
24h
Francesca Hong
46%
Sara Rodriguez
35%
Mandela Barnes
10%
Kelda Roys
1%
Outcome slate
Who will be the head coach of New England for Week 1
kalshi·15 markets·1 tenor
$16.6K
24h
Mike Vrabel
94%
Terrell Williams
9%
Mike Tomlin
2%
Sean McDermott
1%
Jerod Mayo
1%
Outcome slate
Will Ashton Jeanty win the MVP
kalshi·45 markets·1 tenor
$16.6K
24h
Lamar Jackson
10%
Josh Allen
10%
Joe Burrow
9%
Justin Herbert
8%
Patrick Mahomes
6%
Outcome slate
Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People
kalshi·12 markets·1 tenor
$16.3K
24h
Donald Trump
16%
Bad Bunny
14%
Elon Musk
7%
Savannah Guthrie
4%
Taylor Swift
2%
Outcome slate
Ethereum price at Jul 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT
kalshi·36 markets·1 tenor
$16.3K
24h
$750 or above
99%
$790 or above
99%
$830 or above
99%
$870 or above
99%
$910 or above
99%
Outcome slate
Will Cole Custer finish in the top 10 at NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart
kalshi·38 markets·1 tenor
$16.1K
24h
Chase Elliott
43%
Tyler Reddick
42%
Carson Hocevar
38%
Ryan Blaney
33%
Bubba Wallace
33%
Outcome slate
Will AJ Dybantsa win Rookie of the Year
kalshi·17 markets·1 tenor
$16.1K
24h
Darryn Peterson
24%
AJ Dybantsa
18%
Cameron Boozer
18%
Caleb Wilson
13%
Darius Acuff Jr.
12%
Outcome slate
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$15.9K
24h
Exactly 0 cuts
75%
Exactly 1 cut
16%
Exactly 2 cuts
5%
Exactly 3 cuts
2%
Exactly 4 cuts
1%
Outcome slate
Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7220 total us stores in Q2 2026
kalshi·19 markets·1 tenor
$15.8K
24h
Above 7220
98%
Above 7230
63%
Above 7240
15%
Above 7225
9%
Above 1.5%
9%
Outcome slate
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $67 by Jul 31, 2026
kalshi·28 markets·2 tenor·3w – 6mo
$15.8K
24h
64.99 or below
59%
62.99 or below
58%
63.99 or below
56%
61.99 or below
54%
60.99 or below
50%
Outcome slate
Will France win the 2nd Half
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$15.8K
24h
Tie 2nd Half
37%
Tie 2nd Half
37%
France wins 2nd Half
36%
England wins 2nd Half
29%
Spain wins 2nd Half
26%
Outcome slate
Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem Winner
kalshi·28 markets·4 tenors·3w – 12w
$15.8K
24h
Term structure
Will Count Binface Party receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election
kalshi·6 markets·1 tenor
$15.6K
24h
At least 5%
85%
At least 10%
72%
At least 15%
59%
At least 20%
45%
At least 25%
30%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <105° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$15.5K
24h
107° to 108°
53%
107° to 108°
46%
109° to 110°
34%
109° to 110°
26%
105° to 106°
11%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <105° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$15.5K
24h
107° to 108°
60%
104° to 105°
56%
109° to 110°
25%
102° to 103°
11%
105° to 106°
10%
Outcome slate
Will Aaron Judge win AL MVP
kalshi·47 markets·1 tenor
$15.4K
24h
Yordan Álvarez
55%
Junior Caminero
13%
Bobby Witt Jr.
12%
Ben Rice
5%
Nick Kurtz
4%
Outcome slate
What will be the top AI model this month
kalshi·20 markets·2 tenor·1d – 3w
$15.3K
24h
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
99%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
65%
claude-fable-5
10%
claude-fable-5
2%
claude-opus-4-6
1%
Outcome slate
Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion
kalshi·29 markets·1 tenor
$15.2K
24h
Denny Hamlin
33%
Tyler Reddick
16%
Ryan Blaney
11%
Christopher Bell
9%
Kyle Larson
7%
Outcome slate
Will Tarik Skubal win AL Cy Young
kalshi·42 markets·1 tenor
$15.2K
24h
Dylan Cease
42%
Cam Schlittler
36%
Pablo Lopez
3%
Sonny Gray
3%
Drew Rasmussen
3%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <70° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$14.8K
24h
72° to 73°
47%
80° to 81°
37%
74° to 75°
28%
78° to 79°
21%
76° to 77°
16%
Outcome slate
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi·2 markets·2 tenor·11w – 6mo
$14.8K
24h
Before 2027
15%
Before October
11%
Outcome slate
What will Donald Trump say during next White House livestream
kalshi·25 markets·1 tenor
$14.7K
24h
Save Act / Save America Act
73%
Democrat
61%
Biden
56%
Iran (5+ times)
55%
Oil
55%
Outcome slate
Will Anaheim Ducks win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$14.6K
24h
Florida Panthers
12%
Carolina Hurricanes
9%
Colorado Avalanche
9%
Vegas Golden Knights
8%
Edmonton Oilers
7%
Outcome slate
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27699.99 at the end of Jul 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT
kalshi·1934 markets·1 tenor
$14.6K
24h
27,700 or above
99%
27,710 or above
99%
27,720 or above
99%
27,730 or above
99%
27,740 or above
99%
Outcome slate
Will Liam Slock win the 2026 Tour de France
kalshi·32 markets·1 tenor
$14.4K
24h
Tadej Pogacar
92%
Jonas Vingegaard
4%
Isaac Del Toro Romero
3%
Liam Slock
1%
Frank van Den Broek
1%
Outcome slate
What will Donald Trump say during Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit
kalshi·53 markets·2 tenor·3w – 4w
$14.3K
24h
Nuclear
84%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
80%
Fake News
80%
China / Chinese
78%
Drone
78%
Outcome slate
Top US Netflix Show on Jul 13, 2026
kalshi·10 markets·1 tenor
$14.2K
24h
Season 1
98%
Limited Series
1%
Season 2
1%
Season 4
1%
Season 2
1%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <91° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$14.0K
24h
91° to 92°
60%
85° or below
55%
93° to 94°
29%
86° to 87°
28%
88° to 89°
11%
Outcome slate
Will Napheesa Collier win Best WNBA Player award at the 2026 ESPYS
kalshi·116 markets·1 tenor
$13.4K
24h
Lionel Messi
96%
New York Knicks
94%
A’ja Wilson
92%
Jalen Brunson
88%
OG Anunoby’s Tip-In
82%
Outcome slate
Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
kalshi·30 markets·1 tenor
$13.3K
24h
Los Angeles D
97%
Milwaukee
92%
Tampa Bay
92%
New York Y
88%
Atlanta
85%
Outcome slate
Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50
kalshi·42 markets·2 tenor·3w – 7w
$13.3K
24h
Above 2.50
99%
Above 2.60
99%
Above 2.70
99%
Above 2.80
99%
Above 2.90
99%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be <84° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$13.2K
24h
86° to 87°
65%
85° to 86°
34%
87° to 88°
28%
88° to 89°
26%
83° to 84°
18%
Outcome slate
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·6mo – 2.5y
$13.2K
24h
Republican Party
56%
Democratic party
49%
Democratic Party
43%
Republican party
41%
Outcome slate
Will Julie Won receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary
kalshi·97 markets·3 tenors·12mo – 13mo
$12.9K
24h
At least 5%
99%
At least 25%
99%
At least 30%
99%
At least 35%
99%
At least 40%
99%
Outcome slate
Will the **high temp in Austin** be <90° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$12.9K
24h
94° to 95°
43%
92° to 93°
37%
91° to 92°
32%
89° to 90°
26%
88° or below
19%
Outcome slate
Will Seattle be the 2026 AL West Division Winner
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$12.8K
24h
Seattle
54%
Texas
32%
Houston
17%
A's
1%
Los Angeles A
1%
Outcome slate
Will Martell D Bivings be the Republican nominee for MI-13
kalshi·36 markets·1 tenor
$12.4K
24h
Rashida Tlaib
96%
TP Nykoriak
94%
Bill Huizenga
94%
Sean McCann
92%
Amir Hassan
90%
Outcome slate
Will Frank van Den Broek win Stage 9 in the 2026 Tour de France
kalshi·38 markets·1 tenor
$12.3K
24h
Mathieu van der Poel
99%
Ion Izagirre Insausti
92%
Dorian Godon
91%
Lucas Plapp
90%
Remco Evenepoel
63%
Outcome slate
Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $0.5 at 4 PM ET on Jul 17
kalshi·28 markets·4 tenors·5d – 4w
$12.2K
24h
Term structure
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·1 tenor
$12.0K
24h
Justin Gaethje
66%
Arman Tsarukyan
17%
Paddy Pimblett
7%
Charles Oliveira
6%
Ilia Topuria
3%
Outcome slate
Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in June 2026
kalshi·47 markets·6 tenors·2d – 5mo
$12.0K
24h
Term structure
Will the minimum temperature be <68° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$11.9K
24h
68° to 69°
86%
69° to 70°
29%
67° to 68°
20%
71° to 72°
14%
65° to 66°
7%
Outcome slate
Will Trump say "Witch Hunt" before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi·28 markets·1 tenor
$11.9K
24h
Sleazebag
99%
Newscum
99%
RINO
99%
Lightweight
99%
Low IQ
96%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <95° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$11.8K
24h
94° or below
79%
87° to 88°
30%
86° or below
28%
89° to 90°
25%
95° to 96°
17%
Outcome slate
France wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
kalshi·4 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$11.8K
24h
France wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals
7%
Spain wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals
5%
England wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals
5%
Argentina wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals
4%
Outcome slate
Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12
kalshi·2 markets·2 tenor·11w – 6mo
$11.6K
24h
Before January 2027
9%
Before October 2026
4%
Outcome slate
Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day
kalshi·3 markets·3 tenors·3d – 6mo
$11.4K
24h
Term structure
West Indies vs New Zealand Winner
kalshi·8 markets·3 tenors·3d – 6d
$11.3K
24h
Term structure
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$11.2K
24h
Cori Bush
55%
Wesley Bell
43%
Outcome slate
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$11.1K
24h
Democratic party
62%
Republican party
37%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <72° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$10.9K
24h
76° to 77°
31%
84° or above
28%
74° to 75°
22%
82° to 83°
18%
72° to 73°
17%
Outcome slate
Will the minimum temperature be <63° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$10.8K
24h
69° to 70°
91%
67° to 68°
32%
69° to 70°
24%
65° to 66°
13%
71° or above
13%
Outcome slate
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in June
kalshi·65 markets·6 tenors·2d – 5mo
$10.6K
24h
Term structure
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views
kalshi·11 markets·1 tenor
$10.5K
24h
At least 6 million
98%
At least 9 million
98%
At least 12 million
65%
At least 15 million
12%
At least 18 million
2%
Outcome slate
Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 16, 2026
kalshi·5 markets·5 tenors·4d – 9w
$10.5K
24h
Term structure
Phoenix vs Minnesota winner
kalshi·6 markets·2 tenor·2w – 2w
$10.5K
24h
Minnesota
85%
Atlanta
75%
Los Angeles
24%
Connecticut
21%
Portland
21%
Outcome slate
Will the maximum temperature be <79° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$10.5K
24h
78° or below
84%
87° to 88°
32%
85° to 86°
27%
89° to 90°
20%
84° or below
7%
Outcome slate
Will Atlanta win the MLS Cup
kalshi·30 markets·1 tenor
$10.3K
24h
Miami
25%
Vancouver
11%
Los Angeles F
8%
Nashville
7%
Seattle
6%
Outcome slate
Will Arizona win the Pro Football NFC Championship
kalshi·16 markets·1 tenor
$10.3K
24h
Los Angeles R
24%
Seattle
10%
Philadelphia
9%
Dallas
8%
Green Bay
8%
Outcome slate
Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi·4 markets·4 tenors·3w – 12mo
$10.3K
24h
Term structure
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $57500.00 by 11
kalshi·7 markets·1 tenor
$10.2K
24h
Below $57,500.00
18%
Below $55,000.00
11%
Below $52,500.00
5%
Below $50,000.00
5%
Below $47,500.00
2%
Outcome slate
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas
kalshi·2 markets·1 tenor
$10.2K
24h
Ken Paxton
57%
James Talarico
42%
Outcome slate
Will the minimum temperature be <76° on Jul 12, 2026
kalshi·12 markets·2 tenor·1d – 2d
$10.1K
24h
84° or above
86%
80° to 81°
37%
82° to 83°
27%
78° to 79°
19%
82° to 83°
6%
Outcome slate
Will the gold close price be above 3897 USD/t.oz on July 13, 2026 at 5
kalshi·39 markets·1 tenor
$9.8K
24h
above $3897
99%
above $3907
98%
above $3917
98%
above $3927
98%
above $3937
98%
Outcome slate
Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi·2 markets·2 tenor·7w – 6mo
$9.7K
24h
Before Jan 1, 2027
18%
Before Sep 1, 2026
7%
Outcome slate
Will St. John's win the College Basketball National Championship
kalshi·33 markets·1 tenor
$9.7K
24h
Duke
12%
Florida
11%
UConn
7%
Illinois
7%
Michigan
5%
Outcome slate
Will Kansas City be the 2026 AL Central Division Winner
kalshi·5 markets·1 tenor
$9.7K
24h
Cleveland
39%
Chicago WS
31%
Detroit
15%
Minnesota
11%
Kansas City
1%
Outcome slate