Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.
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23¢Bid/Ask 23/24¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,801.27·OI $2,477.83·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
KXFM30YMTG-26DEC31-T5.75
7-day price13 snapshots · 94 regime
27¢23¢ current
Apr 2112¢Apr 28
Resolution rules
If any Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release, between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average is below 5.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/30/2026, 3:34:16 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 3:38:09 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXFM30YMTG-26DEC31-T5.75 yes 100