What is the current probability for "Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 5¢ (5% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2834.3% and 7.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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5¢

Bid/Ask 4/6¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $3,987.812·Closes Jan 1, 2027·245d remaining

0x2b5d5dd6cb23385fd5ff1b93439933248c0ed9b5a67fda54c0ca93b18ef7ce8d

7-day price14 snapshots · 3 regime

50¢5¢ current

Apr 83¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2834.3%

IY (No) 7.9%

Adj IY 1417%

CRI 19

Overround -0.2%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2834.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1417%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	19	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

5/1/2026, 7:51:55 AM

Indicators computed 5/1/2026, 7:38:29 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x2b5d5dd6cb23385fd5ff1b93439933248c0ed9b5a67fda54c0ca93b18ef7ce8d yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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