Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

This market prices Monero reaching $1,000 at just 12% probability with an extreme 1,033% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting the massive price appreciation required from current levels (Monero trades around $150-170). The 3¢ spread is relatively tight given the $8.2M open interest and $27.7K daily volume, though the 849% realized volatility and 2.45 vol ratio suggest significant uncertainty about whether such a move is even feasible within the 259-day window. The cliff risk index of 7 and high information arrival rate (0.4/h) indicate this is a volatile, actively-discussed asset where sentiment could shift sharply, making the current 12¢ price potentially undervalued if macro conditions favor alternative cryptocurrencies or overvalued if the market is pricing in tail-risk scenarios.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Monero (XMRUSDT) between Jan 5, 2026, 17:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XMRUSDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/xmrusdt with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance XMRUSDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

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