Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing September 10, 2026. This market shows classic characteristics of an extremely low-probability event with minimal trading activity: zero 24-hour volume despite $328k open interest and a wide 9¢ spread suggest illiquidity and potential stale pricing.
Analysis
This market shows classic characteristics of an extremely low-probability event with minimal trading activity: zero 24-hour volume despite $328k open interest and a wide 9¢ spread suggest illiquidity and potential stale pricing. The implied probability has declined from 7¢ to 5¢ over seven days, reflecting skepticism about a Macklemore Seahawks acquisition within 147 days, though the astronomical 4,728% implied yield on the Yes side indicates substantial mispricing if any credible acquisition signal emerges. The high cliff risk index (19) combined with neutral regime suggests this market could experience sharp repricing around concrete ownership news, making it more suitable for information traders than liquidity seekers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season). If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered. If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner. If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0x335328012ddcbe49229f9c22db3a3f5dd8f78621dda623a1e1132010fd6a9db2 yes 100