Rafael Jodar to win 2026 Men's French Open
Rafael Jodar is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside 2026 Men's French Open Winner.
Price history
11¢ current
−39¢Contract brief
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Rafael Jodar
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Alexander Zverev 34¢
Range
0¢-34¢
Family volume
$16.0M
Identifier
0x3e166e94...d934
May 28, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$70K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · 2026 Men's French Open Winner
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Family volume
$16.0M
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Identifier
0x3e166e94…d934
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 10¢, +1¢ versus this page.
Event family
2026 Men's French Open Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16.0M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alexander Zverev 34¢
Current share
3%
Alexander Zverev
polymarket · 0x739e756119534672538d8df821a5b3321e2c802d80afff0c5790126be9b41281
Novak Djokovic
polymarket · 0x226e885e5380a6fd143cf8aec4d4d7ce7feece4625cc2301f450655f377f8847
Casper Ruud
polymarket · 0x018b3300ac367451ac9282425942e775f1015bb3c72b8a483153593bdb550b6e
Rafael Jodar
polymarket · 0x3e166e94d38707543b2e951c325eb9b917468b99e75294d11cd853587364d934
Ben Shelton
polymarket · 0x2dba5d6bcf0ad364a444985f07286ebf2dc5bc0ee7989ef1227d14c245e301fb
Joao Fonseca
polymarket · 0x24e67fb509df7efecc1840008153634d4852c0d2725d0a6c13f2e60beb2f2e2f
Felix Auger Aliassime
polymarket · 0x90d0f0f57e38136c7ae56743e682c1eb29aa4e9f17faa4b4fdbcf94d2d6ea787
Flavio Cobolli
polymarket · 0x9eaadf490bf58eb7e2d00fb257711ff462ae99197dc339b2a5cd93a577c7a2e2
Andrey Rublev
polymarket · 0x5fd7a14573c76aff95dee08cc00dbc0e87a6c7ba374bad1300e9aff5f0b98611
Alejandro Tabilo
polymarket · 0x42cb3a3ece95132c54127ce8c12ecde9ec586d3df6f8e0b7e850ca68366f6384
Learner Tien
polymarket · 0x2d8ddd9ea670f9992c03353c033062a0014ca09166d8b15b9489ae9e4e0b6ca4
Stefanos Tsitsipas
polymarket · 0xd70618488dccc0e829e236a7212014752d9981c44f723295648c7fa63c22a1c3
Frances Tiafoe
polymarket · 0xb599d781347109dfc846c1ae5d6dd8afab6271a4ab0c792ae1c4e865a55772a1
Jannik Sinner
polymarket · 0x23e817f30871533d3bd7da01e68b802c5fccb8f44f053ef4ea5789c8a28563fe
Karen Khachanov
polymarket · 0x22c6957b5507bd52206dfe1a6d8129a5b9c70415fabb4ed046d3b067e3fb87ef
Jakub Mensik
polymarket · 0x40d85bb0c07156d8078ed03df11bea9aff0c6700a5186c9848307f00503b2060
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.