SimpleFunctions

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Prediction markets currently give a 41% probability that Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?. This contract trades at 41¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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41¢
Bid/Ask 40/41¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $9.9·OI $13,013.496·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining
0x5a9f7345715079de0aec1d9ec2f119c6ba2861aa9054f5b0134ec79834a861fe
7-day price460 snapshots · 31 regime
55¢41¢ current
Apr 821¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 214.9%
IY (No) 103.8%
Adj IY 107%
CRI 1
Overround 1.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)214.9%
IY (No)103.8%
Adj IY107%
CRI1
Overround1.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 1:01:48 PM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 5/1/2026, 12:53:38 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x5a9f7345715079de0aec1d9ec2f119c6ba2861aa9054f5b0134ec79834a861fe yes 100

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