Simple Functions

Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Prediction markets currently give a 0% probability that Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?. This contract trades at 0¢ on Polymarket, closing May 30, 2026.

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0¢mid
Bid/Ask 0/0¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $617.542·OI $7,732.751·Closes May 30, 2026
0x5c2a04a23f564d929d33497b806b1b3715ab263791676d728f4a3dc3b5b5ac4d
7-day price59 snapshots · 57 regime
2¢0¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 4¢(Δ -4¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 16598.5%Close-time delta 398h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the top goalscorer of the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League. If multiple players tie for the most goals in the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League season, the market will resolve based on most assists, then most games played, and finally the player's last name alphabetically if ties persist. If a player's team is eliminated, and they are not in the goal lead, the market for that player may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 7:30:30 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x5c2a04a23f564d929d33497b806b1b3715ab263791676d728f4a3dc3b5b5ac4d yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →