Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Polymarket, closing August 4, 2026.

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35¢
Bid/Ask 16/54¢·Spread 38¢·Vol $0·OI $2,149.875·Closes Aug 4, 2026·101d remaining
0x67ae5c2f145bba42ae64d170a1cb3551f9053aaee61485407429bb1b11890fa4
7-day price469 snapshots · 5 regime
53¢35¢ current
Apr 1133¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 668.8%
IY (No) 193.9%
Adj IY 334%
CRI 2
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)668.8%
IY (No)193.9%
Adj IY334%
CRI2
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
38¢
Computed
4/24/2026, 3:36:49 PM
Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 3:23:44 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x67ae5c2f145bba42ae64d170a1cb3551f9053aaee61485407429bb1b11890fa4 yes 100

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