Spread: Deportivo Saprissa (-1.5)

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $50.6k open interest and a massive 64¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 37¢ price may not reflect true market consensus. The astronomical implied yield of 10,440% combined with 998% realized volatility and a Cliff Risk Index of 2 indicates high uncertainty around the April 22 Liga Promerica match, likely driven by limited price discovery rather than genuine conviction in the -1.5 spread outcome. With only 6 days to expiry and an info arrival rate of 1.9 events per hour, this market appears to be a low-liquidity trap where the sharp 10¢ price decline over 7 days may reflect position unwinding rather than fundamental shifts in Saprissa's winning probability.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Liga Promerica game, scheduled for April 22 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Saprissa" if Deportivo Saprissa win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Guadalupe FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on unafut.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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