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Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Prediction markets currently give a 68% probability that Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 68¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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68¢
Bid/Ask 68/68¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $2,270.923·OI $6,530.611·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining
0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1
7-day price371 snapshots · 19 regime
81¢68¢ current
Apr 1350¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 70.3%
IY (No) 317.3%
Adj IY 152%
CRI 2
Overround 1.9%
LAS 0.04
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)70.3%
IY (No)317.3%
Adj IY152%
CRI2
Overround1.9%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
0¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 12:56:49 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 12:53:38 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1 yes 100

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