Will the match end in a draw?

This market shows extreme distress signals with a 33,401% implied yield on the Yes side despite only 8% pricing, suggesting severe mispricing or a liquidity trap rather than genuine opportunity. The zero 24-hour volume combined with a wide 9¢ spread and $197k open interest indicates the market is essentially frozen with no recent trading activity, making the theoretical yield figures unreliable. With just 13 days to the April 25 resolution date and a Cliff Risk Index of 12, this appears to be a stale or abandoned market where the pricing has decoupled from reality due to illiquidity rather than reflecting true draw probability.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.

Indicators

Regime

Trade