SimpleFunctions

↑ 105,000 · What price will Bitcoin hit in May

↑ 105,000 is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside What price will Bitcoin hit in May?.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

0¢ current

0¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Outcome

↑ 105,000

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

↓ 70,000 13¢

Range

0¢-13¢

Family volume

$34.0M

Identifier

0x7f8f6342...299a

May 28, 2026, 8:04 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 8:04 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

0¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$16K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$34.0M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢1.9K
0¢1.5K
0¢31K
0¢54K
100¢156
100¢2.6K
100¢36K
100¢140

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x7f8f6342…299a

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at —.

View counterpart

Event family

What price will Bitcoin hit in May.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$34.0M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

↓ 70,000 13¢

Current share

3%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↓ 70,000

polymarket · 0x27ad7baca4066891d8e8e5a4df38b164e95b56757041a5c198d24f9cd984b877

13¢
$3.3M$373K0.0

↑ 85,000

polymarket · 0x58078283e2356f9b9537b42e7479d7785b83bcd6f18002de8a2526c499eda837

1¢
$4.5M$273K—

↓ 65,000

polymarket · 0xde5ed16b575a0b1d100126266232653f1ba8e5709a4dd79b361491026f6cf65c

1¢
$2.9M$99K—

↑ 150,000

polymarket · 0x97947fe256c481e0f651723674a93ecf35c3999f782b56f41b40c31cb78b2af4

0¢
$6.5M$28K—

↑ 90,000

polymarket · 0x12587fe0cd6aa29260510a658db7d3e03de052bbc9d77ec29fbc4579a0999db1

0¢
$3.3M$128K—

↑ 95,000

polymarket · 0x40e923d788caaed2066daac648f76bbf8dbf04177e248724b4103467ae66d2ff

0¢
$2.2M$183K—

↓ 60,000

polymarket · 0xd72eb4440b11191d981c1ca0e4d363f42c84313067b3a29db721c6780218c2bf

0¢
$2.1M$177K—

↑ 100,000

polymarket · 0x4f61a39a39d5be042ae73f2b814e525789edb29c9a7b012fc6733f87192ce4b2

0¢
$1.8M$106K—

↓ 55,000

polymarket · 0x4998a7c5897df3b9dd879cec4f62ca776cd608eacd271ffb375a84f20f4f3d9c

0¢
$1.2M$108K—

↓ 35,000

polymarket · 0x1be2e3401a8547f4d535695eea21fad47e645205f3f643c4792ac00a71c07980

0¢
$1.1M$11—

↑ 105,000

polymarket · 0x7f8f6342f0a0b8c90ff6113fdb9f9e5fb83a0fe24e3a409a2ab5f3305cee299a

0¢
$1.0M$16K—

↓ 45,000

polymarket · 0xbe9fdf78cc0d54ceadd94497ca032df3d35646e18f09442ce5a96a76f6c88363

0¢
$962K$64K—

↓ 50,000

polymarket · 0xe9894e3b49c49f930d87c016072bcd80ec7799b1caf6e1011517913c99f7df2f

0¢
$939K$73K—

↑ 120,000

polymarket · 0xf9ba42b5d92701b068800935b28f4218fa087773dfd36339ee8fb47ec4b8628e

0¢
$824K$10K—

↑ 110,000

polymarket · 0xbb75f6c9d3dfbd54b0506888925591b376bd1ab443d1ea93ff430bd3d9620506

0¢
$735K$1K—

↑ 115,000

polymarket · 0x1609e9af7f2903aad19db3e5931841aecf98e35489ebd65f00525d03d31c8270

0¢
$529K$80—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.

Realtime Data API

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World State API

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.