Will GV CD San José win on 2026-04-25?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion with zero 24-hour volume despite $166k open interest and a massive 52¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 34¢ price may not reflect true probability. The astronomical 12,727% implied yield on the Yes side combined with 751% realized volatility and a Cliff Risk Index of 2 indicates severe mispricing or trapped liquidity rather than genuine market consensus. With only 6 days to expiry and an info arrival rate of 1.5 events per hour, this market is likely illiquid enough that any actual trading could move prices dramatically, making it unreliable for serious prediction purposes.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If GV CD San José wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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