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Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 86¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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86¢
Bid/Ask 84/88¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $5,446.526·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining
0xad257f63905baaec310fc3fe86385ede38c80415354fafbb5b3f035a8239a6f0
7-day price301 snapshots · 11 regime
87¢86¢ current
Apr 848¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 24.3%
IY (No) 917.2%
Adj IY 917%
CRI 6
RV 161%
VR 3.15
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)24.3%
IY (No)917.2%
Adj IY917%
CRI6
RV161%
VR3.15
IAR0.8/h
Overround1.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 1:01:47 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Indicators computed 5/1/2026, 12:53:38 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xad257f63905baaec310fc3fe86385ede38c80415354fafbb5b3f035a8239a6f0 yes 100

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