Will Guadalupe FC win on 2026-04-22?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 50¢ spread despite only $64.655 in open interest, creating a highly unreliable price signal just one week before resolution. The astronomical implied yields (10,003.8% for Yes) are artifacts of the wide bid-ask spread rather than genuine market expectations, and the 492% realized volatility combined with a 46¢ price drop over seven days suggests either significant new information or thin-market distortions. With resolution imminent on 4/23/2026 and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, traders should be cautious—this market lacks sufficient depth to reflect true probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Guadalupe FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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