Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

0xcca00a38f0f18a736c18f8119e1baf040be49ebf7340fdd43f95397e679fb8a2 · closes Jun 30, 2026 · 77 days remaining

Price

Last
80¢
Bid
75¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
9¢
24h Volume
$432.251
Open Interest
$1,168.901

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)118.0%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)1888.3%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI4Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround0.3%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV1555%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR10.00Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR2.1/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY1888%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

277 indicator snapshots · 4 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:38:30 PM

About this market

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to trade

View on polymarket: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xcca00a38f0f18a736c18f8119e1baf040be49ebf7340fdd43f95397e679fb8a2 yes 100

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