Zach Werenski to win NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy
Zach Werenski is priced at 86¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 81¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner.
Price history
86¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Zach Werenski
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Zach Werenski 85¢
Range
4¢-85¢
Family volume
$81K
Identifier
0xcca00a38...b8a2
May 29, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
11¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$81K
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xcca00a38…b8a2
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 91¢, -5¢ versus this page.
Event family
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$81K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Zach Werenski 85¢
Current share
14%
Zach Werenski
polymarket · 0xcca00a38f0f18a736c18f8119e1baf040be49ebf7340fdd43f95397e679fb8a2
Cale Makar
polymarket · 0x302dfdd90b4483c21fa42ea49dc4c79375f5ed8dd562c9b509872e16acad22c8
Rasmus Dahlin
polymarket · 0x438bdf9f2ace2de8e1bfc0ab3a476c6c36d6d354a300e0c0f859b82910018195
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.