SimpleFunctions

Kylian Mbappé · World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

Kylian Mbappé is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 23¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside World Cup: Most Goal Contributions.

Price history

26¢ current

1¢
20¢30¢
May 25, 2026Jun 5, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the player who records the most goal contributions combined through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Kylian Mbappé

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Kylian Mbappé 26¢

Range

0¢-26¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

0xe973a0ad...d943

Jun 6, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 6, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

23¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

24h volume

$607

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

Closes

Jul 20, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 29¢

Polymarket
6¢ spread
BidSize
23¢100
22¢191
20¢248
19¢69
17¢10
15¢2.0K
12¢7
5¢600
AskSize
29¢10
33¢49
34¢1.0K
35¢1.5K
60¢5
63¢40
66¢155
67¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the player who records the most goal contributions combined through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 20, 2026

Identifier

0xe973a0ad…d943

SF Signal
SF Index
912.48
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 15¢, +11¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

World Cup: Most Goal Contributions.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$8K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Kylian Mbappé 26¢

Current share

16%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Kylian Mbappé

polymarket · 0xe973a0ad56ba34349854cd9cfb23be1d8cc57e9479d24891f2517bdf99ded943

26¢
$1K$830.2

Santiago Giménez

polymarket · 0x9699b98ddb5f7b4675ccc5a2d4c3199850c81cfb900ff8642b84fe50204cd2a9

23¢
$296$142

Sadio Mané

polymarket · 0xc612c7b25427c3244715c32cf91a5618b8c5a8f1bc00099a417acd9b552f4895

16¢
$324$701.9

Rafael Leão

polymarket · 0x43c01eb91e99114b6a4be936d1ee66cd1cb97f1f6048767adb341e8260624bcc

15¢
$309$124

Lamine Yamal

polymarket · 0xd9a5f800e3c7f71e239af245f420e9f9bb478a7b095b7ea4707350ba143552aa

14¢
$830$70

Harry Kane

polymarket · 0x2e1a9087073f52e91b2792f0b69dcabf5617c6b1f63af1004b9a0fed9d6a4937

13¢
$504$710.5

Erling Haaland

polymarket · 0xe7fa55fca14e385bda2b593ede9336c257e9538682e277926d957984f9e2eb05

10¢
$1K$83

Hannibal Mejbri

polymarket · 0xd046f3b311fb80d3b1c99f32badad00cdc46a1ee327b822d2b474ef48849fcd8

4¢
$332$178

Martin Boyle

polymarket · 0x4865479544730da6bf771a4352b8e031b09f46f14d2b0b0ec291ff91c818eafc

4¢
$330$176

Sébastien Haller

polymarket · 0xa3554a0fecf77c9fb9603eb2a457462c425ce710b086ceb2a5c5934ac1f2ab20

4¢
$311$70

Andrej Kramarić

polymarket · 0x5a10ae99d9739de040cad2e146024d4d98fb95644681d7a05ad58feb183cf402

4¢
$291$121

Lautaro Martínez

polymarket · 0xb1ffbfa31f55ac9101a4703bf65749b4b9f26596868ed0d43ea6c685db3fe751

2¢
$329$70

Federico Valverde

polymarket · 0xed87d362d78fd8d45c6339f3bee037f478279cca1f4308b9d8c8b0a10c86d0ae

2¢
$325$62

Cody Gakpo

polymarket · 0x2e3ea47a0bdce16e7774dd18e13516954a70ced677d0623bab6ae808b6fec34f

1¢
$366$1700.0

Mohamed Salah

polymarket · 0x70a574f54380fa7ed6e2de1abee5758447b4290d15d5614eeeb4a3767f41d716

1¢
$287$62

Christian Pulisic

polymarket · 0xe614a9645ae0bd929fa749c4018b6644c3e6382897bc2cf90d2a5a2154528dd1

0¢
$291$75

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2372.6%

IY (No)

292.9%

Adj IY

912%

CRI

3

Overround

1.6%

LAS

0.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2372.6%
292.9%
Adj IY
912%
3
Overround
1.6%
LAS
0.23

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.