The Golden Globes are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Director at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
CurrentPaul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another | 100.0% |
Chloe Zhao – Hamnet | 0.1% |
Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value | 0.1% |
Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident |
Z | 0.0% |
M | 0.0% |
N | 0.0% |
O | 0.0% |
P | 0.0% |
Q | 0.0% |
R | 0.0% |
S | 0.0% |
T | 0.0% |
U | 0.0% |
V | 0.0% |
W | 0.0% |
X | 0.0% |
Y | 0.0% |
A | 0.0% |
B | 0.0% |
D | 0.0% |
G | 0.0% |
H | 0.0% |
J | 0.0% |
K | 0.0% |
L | 0.0% |
James Cameron – Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0.0% |
Benny Safdie – The Smashing Machine | 0.0% |
Noah Baumbach – Jay Kelly | 0.0% |
Park Chan-wook – No Other Choice | 0.0% |
Kathryn Bigelow – A House of Dynamite | 0.0% |
Yorgos Lanthimos – Bugonia | 0.0% |
Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme | 0.0% |
Jon M. Chu – Wicked: For Good | 0.0% |
Kleber Mendonca Filho – The Secret Agent | 0.0% |
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Kalshi |
| 83.0% |
| $7,445 |
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Kalshi | 99.0% | $220 | Trade |
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Kalshi | 98.0% | $200 | Trade |