This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Scott Wiener | 40.5% |
Connie Chan | 35.7% |
Saikat Chakrabarti | 19.4% |
Cole Bettles | 0.4% |
Darren Helton | 0.3% |
Jingchao Xiong | 0.3% |
David Ganezer | 0.1% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate K | 0.0% |
Candidate L | 0.0% |
CurrentCandidate N | 0.0% |
Candidate O | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |
Candidate D | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
Candidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |